Football Stats Hub

Deportivo Pasto crestDeportivo Pasto
v
Alianza Valledupar crestAlianza Valledupar

Primera A | Tue 20 Oct, 02:05

Deportivo Pasto v Alianza Valledupar Stats

Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 09:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo Pasto and Alianza Valledupar face off in a Primera A clash where both teams have shown contrasting offensive and defensive patterns. Deportivo Pasto has struggled to find the net consistently, averaging 0.8 goals per game, while conceding one per match. Alianza Valledupar, meanwhile, boasts a stronger attack with 1.6 goals per game but has a leaky defense allowing 2.2 goals on average. Recent form suggests an open game with both sides capable of scoring, setting the stage for a contest where offensive opportunities could be capitalized on by both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Alianza Valledupar scores in every recent match, showing a 100% BTTS rate.
  • Deportivo Pasto’s defense concedes regularly, with a 20% BTTS rate but recent matches hint at vulnerability.
  • Both teams average over 11 shots per game, indicating offensive intent and chances created.
  • Alianza Valledupar’s over 2.5 goals rate is 100%, suggesting high-scoring potential in their games.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.7, supporting a moderate scoring environment.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score with a 70% chance, reflecting Alianza Valledupar’s consistent scoring and Deportivo Pasto’s defensive frailties. Alianza Valledupar’s perfect BTTS record and high goal output contrast with Deportivo Pasto’s lower scoring but frequent concessions. Shot volume and attacking pressure from both sides support the likelihood of goals at both ends. The price is fair with a positive , making this a confident pick based on attacking trends and defensive vulnerabilities.

Alianza Valledupar BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Deportivo Pasto Defensive Concessions1 goal per game average
Positive
Shot VolumeBoth teams average over 11 shots per game
Positive
Model Confidence88%
Strong positive
Value Edge65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown the ability to find the net, with Alianza Valledupar’s attack particularly potent and Deportivo Pasto’s defense vulnerable. This match is likely to see goals at both ends due to offensive pressure and defensive lapses, making Both Teams to Score a tactically sound and data-backed choice.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Alianza Valledupar’s consistent scoring combined with Deportivo Pasto’s defensive openness creates a strong case for goals at both ends. The attacking roles and shot volumes suggest an open contest where both sides will breach the net.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Alianza Valledupar scores in every recent match, showing a 100% BTTS rate.

Deportivo Pasto’s defense concedes regularly, with a 20% BTTS rate but recent matches hint at vulnerability.

Both teams average over 11 shots per game, indicating offensive intent and chances created.

Alianza Valledupar’s over 2.5 goals rate is 100%, suggesting high-scoring potential in their games.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Alianza Valledupar’s games have consistently gone over 2.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo, open style.
  • Deportivo Pasto’s matches show a 40% over 2.5 rate, suggesting occasional high-scoring games.
  • This trend supports a match environment conducive to multiple goals and BTTS outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo Pasto0.8
Avg goals scored
Alianza Valledupar1.6
Deportivo Pasto1
Avg goals conceded
Alianza Valledupar2.2
Deportivo Pasto20%
BTTS rate
Alianza Valledupar100%
Deportivo Pasto40%
Over 2.5 goals
Alianza Valledupar100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Alianza Valledupar’s perfect BTTS rate and high goals per game contrast with Deportivo Pasto’s lower scoring but frequent concessions, creating a scenario where both teams are likely to score. The head-to-head average of 1.7 goals supports a moderate scoring environment, with attacking intent from both sides increasing BTTS chances.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
3
Check odds @ 3
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Deportivo Pasto Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
The 65% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Deportivo Pasto show a 20% BTTS rate and Alianza Valledupar show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo Pasto

DLWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
04 Oct 2026H Fortaleza FC0-0
26 Sep 2026A Chico0-3
20 Sep 2026H Once Caldas1-0
15 Sep 2026A America de Cali1-0
06 Sep 2026A Cucuta2-2

Alianza Valledupar

DLWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
10 Oct 2026H Águilas Doradas2-2
03 Oct 2026A Deportivo Cali1-3
27 Sep 2026A Jaguares2-1
19 Sep 2026H Santa Fe1-4
16 Sep 2026A Chico2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
3
Check odds @ 3
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Deportivo Pasto Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Deportivo Pasto to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Recent form data shows Alianza Valledupar scoring consistently with a 100% BTTS rate and high goal output, while Deportivo Pasto has struggled offensively but concedes regularly. This contrast suggests an open match where both teams can find the net, supported by their recent attacking and defensive performances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Deportivo Pasto Over 2.5
100%Alianza Valledupar Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Alianza Valledupar’s games have consistently gone over 2.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo, open style. Deportivo Pasto’s matches show a 40% over 2.5 rate, suggesting occasional high-scoring games. This trend supports a match environment conducive to multiple goals and BTTS outcomes.

Loading deeper match data…