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Norway crestNorway
v
Sweden crestSweden

Friendlies | Mon 01 Jun, 18:00

Norway v Sweden Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 13:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Norway face Sweden in Friendlies on Mon 01 Jun, 18:00. The fixture brings together two sides heading towards the same destination but travelling on slightly different roads. Norway hold an incredible home record at the Ullevaal Stadion, where they are unbeaten in 12 consecutive outings, securing nine wins.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Type where you pick between three distinct paths: a home victory (1), a draw (X), or an away victory (2) determined at the end of regular time

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 58%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 1.73, Type where you pick between three distinct paths: a home victory (1), a draw (X), or an away victory (2) determined at the end of regular time implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Conversely, pairing a Match Result selection with statistical targets like both teams to score increases pricing margins but amplifies the threat of single-tier structural.
Price warning

Type where you pick between three distinct paths: a home victory (1), a draw (X), or an away victory (2) determined at the end of regular time is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 58% while the model sits nearer 50% (-7.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Sweden to Win shows a +13.1 pts edge at 4.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Type where you pick between three distinct paths: a home victory (1), a draw (X), or an away victory (2) determined at the end of regular time sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Conversely, pairing a Match Result selection with statistical targets like both teams to score increases pricing margins but amplifies the threat of single-tier structural.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Negative
Conversely, pairing a Match Result selection with statistical targets.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -7.8 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because conversely, pairing a Match Result selection with statistical targets like both teams to score increases pricing margins but amplifies the threat of single-tier structural failure. Neither result represents a crisis, but they did interrupt the momentum that had carried Stale Solbakken's side so impressively towards the World Cup.

Main risk

Neither result represents a crisis, but they did interrupt the momentum that had carried Stale Solbakken's side so impressively towards the World Cup.

Key Data Signals

Type where you pick between three distinct paths: a home victory (1), a draw (X), or an away victory (2) determined at the end of regular time evidence

Conversely, pairing a Match Result selection with statistical targets like both teams to score increases pricing margins.

What To Watch In The Data

Type where you pick between three distinct paths: a home victory (1), a draw (X), or an away victory (2) determined at the end of regular time notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Norway

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
31 Mar 2026H Switzerland0-0
27 Mar 2026A Netherlands1-2

Sweden

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sweden yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 54% · edge +13.7 pts
1.87
Check odds @ 1.87
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Sweden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4
Check odds @ 4
Sweden Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Norway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Norway to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Norway0.5
Avg goals scored
Sweden-
Norway1
Avg goals conceded
Sweden-
Norway50%
BTTS rate
Sweden-
Norway50%
Over 2.5 goals
Sweden-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 58% · edge -7.8 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 58% · edge -7.8 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Sweden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4
Check odds @ 4
Sweden Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Norway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Norway wins
3Draws
0Sweden wins
12 Jun 2022Norway v Sweden3-2
05 Jun 2022Sweden v Norway1-2
08 Sep 2019Sweden v Norway1-1
26 Mar 2019Norway v Sweden3-3
13 Jun 2017Norway v Sweden1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 58% · edge -7.8 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Sweden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Norway to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Norway3
Avg corners for
Sweden-
Norway8
Avg total corners
Sweden-
Norway0.5
Avg yellow cards
Sweden-
Norway5
Avg shots
Sweden-
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 54% · edge -1.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Norway4
Played
Sweden2
Norway1.3
Avg goals for
Sweden1.5
Norway1
Avg goals against
Sweden2.5
Norway1
Clean sheets
Sweden0
Best odds for this sectionSweden to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 25% · edge +13.1 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Sweden Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Norway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Norway to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Sweden to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Norway Over 2.5
-Sweden Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
Conversely, pairing a Match Result selection with statistical targets like both teams to score increases pricing margins but amplifies the threat of single-tier structural failure.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.