Football Stats Hub

JJK crestJJK
v
KuPS Akatemia crestKuPS Akatemia

Ykkönen | Sat 11 Jul, 15:00

JJK v KuPS Akatemia Stats

Data last updated: Thu 30 Jul 2026, 23:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

JJK face KuPS Akatemia in Ykkönen on Sat 11 Jul, 15:00. JJK come in with 7 recent points and 3.4 goals per match, while KuPS Akatemia have 4 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • At 1.73, Over 3.5 Goals implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for JJK and 100% for KuPS Akatemia, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • JJK are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.4 goals per match, with KuPS Akatemia at 2.2.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for JJK and 80% for KuPS Akatemia show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for JJK and 100% for KuPS Akatemia, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for JJK and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
JJK are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.4.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 3.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for JJK and 100% for KuPS Akatemia, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for JJK and 100% for KuPS Akatemia, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

JJK are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.4 goals per match, with KuPS Akatemia at 2.2.

BTTS rates of 80% for JJK and 80% for KuPS Akatemia show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

JJK3.4
Avg goals scored
KuPS Akatemia2.2
JJK1.8
Avg goals conceded
KuPS Akatemia2.6
JJK80%
BTTS rate
KuPS Akatemia80%
JJK80%
Over 2.5 goals
KuPS Akatemia100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge +0.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 3.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for JJK and 100% for KuPS Akatemia, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
JJK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
KuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
JJK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
KuPS Akatemia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

JJK

LWWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
05 Jul 2026A TPV0-1
25 Jun 2026H Inter Turku II11-1
13 Jun 2026A KPV-j3-2
06 Jun 2026H PKKU1-3
02 Jun 2026H VJS2-2

KuPS Akatemia

LDLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
04 Jul 2026H Tampere United2-3
28 Jun 2026A OLS2-2
12 Jun 2026A SalPa3-4
05 Jun 2026H KPV-j4-1
29 May 2026A PKKU0-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 88% · edge -1.7 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Load more odds for this section
JJK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
KuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
JJK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
KuPS Akatemia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3JJK wins
2Draws
3KuPS Akatemia wins
10 Apr 2026KuPS Akatemia v JJK1-2
19 Sep 2025JJK v KuPS Akatemia1-2
18 Jun 2025JJK v KuPS Akatemia2-1
16 Apr 2025KuPS Akatemia v JJK3-3
11 Apr 2025KuPS Akatemia v JJK2-1
15 Sep 2024JJK v KuPS Akatemia1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
JJK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
KuPS Akatemia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

JJK17
Played
KuPS Akatemia17
JJK2.4
Avg goals for
KuPS Akatemia1.7
JJK1.9
Avg goals against
KuPS Akatemia2.4
JJK2
Clean sheets
KuPS Akatemia2
Best odds for this sectionJJK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 77% · edge -0.5 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
KuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
JJK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
KuPS Akatemia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
Season data supports JJK Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5JJK25177467
11KuPS Akatemia11172510-12
JJK sit in position 5, while KuPS Akatemia sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the Over 3.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%JJK Over 2.5
100%KuPS Akatemia Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: JJK sit at 80% and KuPS Akatemia sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.