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Virtus Entella crestVirtus Entella
v
Mantova crestMantova

Serie B | Sat 24 Oct, 14:00

Virtus Entella v Mantova Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B fixture between Virtus Entella and Mantova promises an engaging contest with both sides showing attacking intent in recent matches. Virtus Entella ranks 10th with 9 points, while Mantova sits higher in 2nd place with 14 points, reflecting their stronger league position. Both teams have averaged over 1.5 goals scored per game recently and maintain decent offensive pressure, suggesting a lively encounter. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides increase the likelihood of goals at both ends, making this an intriguing match-up for goal-scoring markets.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Virtus Entella scores 1.8 goals per game with an 80% BTTS rate.
  • Mantova averages 1.6 goals per game and has a 60% BTTS rate.
  • Both teams have solid shot volumes: Virtus Entella 15.4 shots/game, Mantova 12.8.
  • Recent form shows both sides concede regularly, supporting BTTS potential.
  • Player data highlights multiple attacking threats on both sides, increasing scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating strong value. Both teams have consistent attacking output and concede at least one goal per game on average, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. The presence of key attacking players like J. Mboyo and Giacomo Corona, who generate high shot volumes and goal threats, further supports this outcome. Defensive lapses and open play styles in recent matches underpin the model's in BTTS.

Model Chance70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Virtus Entella BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Mantova BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Average Goals ConcededVirtus Entella 1.0, Mantova 1.2
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both Virtus Entella and Mantova pushing forward aggressively. Mantova's higher league standing and attacking players like J. Mboyo suggest they will find chances, while Virtus Entella's home form and attacking intent make them likely to score. The data supports a match where both teams find the net, reflecting their recent goal-scoring and conceding patterns.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Both teams have shown a willingness to attack but also defensive vulnerabilities, making BTTS a compelling market here. Key players on both sides create enough chances to expect goals at each end.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Virtus Entella scores 1.8 goals per game with an 80% BTTS rate.

Mantova averages 1.6 goals per game and has a 60% BTTS rate.

Both teams have solid shot volumes: Virtus Entella 15.4 shots/game, Mantova 12.8.

Recent form shows both sides concede regularly, supporting BTTS potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Virtus Entella has a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, while Mantova's is 40%, indicating a moderate trend towards higher-scoring games.
  • The average goals in their two head-to-head meetings is low at 1, but recent form and attacking stats suggest a faster tempo and more goal opportunities in this fixture, making Over 2.5 goals a plausible outcome.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Virtus Entella1.8
Avg goals scored
Mantova1.6
Virtus Entella1
Avg goals conceded
Mantova1.2
Virtus Entella80%
BTTS rate
Mantova60%
Virtus Entella60%
Over 2.5 goals
Mantova40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both Virtus Entella and Mantova have strong BTTS rates of 80% and 60% respectively, supported by average goals scored above 1.5 per game. Their defensive records show they concede regularly, making a goal from each side plausible. The attacking styles and recent matches indicate a high chance of goals for both teams in this fixture.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Virtus Entella

WDDWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 2L
17 Oct 2026A Padova2-1
10 Oct 2026H Juve Stabia1-1
19 Sep 2026A Cremonese0-0
11 Sep 2026A Pisa4-1
06 Sep 2026H Vicenza Virtus2-2

Mantova

LWDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 1L
17 Oct 2026H Palermo0-2
11 Oct 2026A Catanzaro3-1
20 Sep 2026H Pisa2-2
13 Sep 2026H Sampdoria2-0
06 Sep 2026A Cesena1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 75% · edge +2.4 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Virtus Entella to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Mantova to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Mantova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form shows Virtus Entella scoring 1.8 goals per game and conceding 1.0, with an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goal exchanges. Mantova scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2 per game with a 60% BTTS rate, reflecting a slightly more cautious but still open approach. Both teams have earned similar points recently, suggesting competitive balance and ongoing offensive efforts.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Virtus Entella to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Mantova to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Mantova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The 70.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Virtus Entella show a 80% BTTS rate and Mantova show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Virtus Entella Over 2.5
40%Mantova Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Virtus Entella has a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, while Mantova's is 40%, indicating a moderate trend towards higher-scoring games. The average goals in their two head-to-head meetings is low at 1, but recent form and attacking stats suggest a faster tempo and more goal opportunities in this fixture, making Over 2.5 goals a plausible outcome.

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