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BK Hacken crestBK Hacken
v
Degerfors IF crestDegerfors IF

Allsvenskan | Sat 24 Oct, 14:00

BK Hacken v Degerfors IF Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 12:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

BK Hacken hosts Degerfors IF in an Allsvenskan clash where defensive solidity and recent scoring trends set the tone. BK Hacken ranks 4th with a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.2 goals per game recently, while Degerfors IF sits 14th, struggling offensively with under one goal per match. Both teams have shown a cautious approach, reflected in low goal averages and limited over 2.5 goals occurrences. This encounter is likely to be a tactical battle with tight defenses limiting clear scoring opportunities, making a low-scoring outcome probable.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • BK Hacken concedes only 0.2 goals per game recently, indicating strong defense
  • Degerfors IF averages 0.8 goals scored per match, showing limited attacking threat
  • Both teams have low over 2.5 goals rates: 40% for BK Hacken, 20% for Degerfors IF
  • Recent form data shows BK Hacken scored just 2 goals in last matches, Degerfors IF less than 1
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.22 but recent form favors fewer goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 58.2% chance, supported by BK Hacken's robust defense and Degerfors IF's limited scoring output. BK Hacken's recent matches yield low goal totals, and Degerfors IF's attacking struggles reduce the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The of 15.6% at of 2.35 confirms the pick as a strong statistical and tactical choice. No warnings on price sensitivity or data limitations apply, making this a confident selection based on current form and season-long defensive trends.

BK Hacken Defensive Strength0.2 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Degerfors IF Scoring Rate0.8 goals per game
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals Rate40% BK Hacken, 20% Degerfors IF
Positive
Model Confidence76%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible choice given BK Hacken's defensive discipline and Degerfors IF's limited offensive threat. The tactical setup and recent form data suggest a cautious game with few clear chances, making a low-scoring outcome the most probable scenario.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and attacking limitations

“BK Hacken's defensive resilience combined with Degerfors IF's scoring difficulties creates a compelling case for a low-scoring match. Expect tight control and limited clear-cut chances throughout.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

BK Hacken concedes only 0.2 goals per game recently, indicating strong defense

Degerfors IF averages 0.8 goals scored per match, showing limited attacking threat

Recent form data shows BK Hacken scored just 2 goals in last matches, Degerfors IF less than 1

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The head-to-head sample of 9 matches shows an average of 3.22 goals, but recent matches have trended lower.
  • Over the last five encounters, goal totals have decreased, indicating a slowing tempo and more defensive caution.
  • This trend supports the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals as teams prioritize defensive organization and limit open-play chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

BK Hacken2
Avg goals scored
Degerfors IF0.8
BK Hacken0.2
Avg goals conceded
Degerfors IF1.2
BK Hacken20%
BTTS rate
Degerfors IF40%
BK Hacken40%
Over 2.5 goals
Degerfors IF20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Goal-scoring is expected to be limited as BK Hacken has a low BTTS rate of 20%, indicating they often keep clean sheets, while Degerfors IF's 40% BTTS rate is tempered by their low scoring average. The controlled goal context suggests a match where one or both teams may struggle to find the net, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals pick.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBK Hacken to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 70% · edge +3.6 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
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Degerfors IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
BK Hacken Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Degerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
5
Check odds @ 5
The 57.6% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 42.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for BK Hacken and 20% for Degerfors IF, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

BK Hacken

WWWDD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
18 Oct 2026A Malmo FF1-0
11 Oct 2026H Orgryte IS3-0
20 Sep 2026A Kalmar FF5-0
11 Sep 2026H Mjallby AIF1-1
05 Sep 2026A Gais0-0

Degerfors IF

LDLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
19 Oct 2026H Kalmar FF1-2
10 Oct 2026A Mjallby AIF1-1
20 Sep 2026H Hammarby FF0-1
14 Sep 2026A Sirius0-2
05 Sep 2026H Halmstad2-0
Best odds for this sectionBK Hacken to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 70% · edge +3.6 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
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Degerfors IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
BK Hacken Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Degerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
5
Check odds @ 5
Recent form data shows BK Hacken scoring just 2 goals while conceding 0.2 per game, highlighting defensive strength and modest attack. Degerfors IF's 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match reflect offensive struggles and defensive vulnerability, but not enough to suggest a high-scoring game. These trends align with the Under 2.5 Goals prediction.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%BK Hacken Over 2.5
20%Degerfors IF Over 2.5
3.22H2H avg goals
The head-to-head sample of 9 matches shows an average of 3.22 goals, but recent matches have trended lower. Over the last five encounters, goal totals have decreased, indicating a slowing tempo and more defensive caution. This trend supports the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals as teams prioritize defensive organization and limit open-play chances.

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