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Blackburn crestBlackburn
v
Wrexham crestWrexham

Championship | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

Blackburn v Wrexham Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 13:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Blackburn and Wrexham meet at Ewood Park in a tightly poised Championship clash with just one point separating the sides. Blackburn, recovering from a recent defensive collapse at West Brom, have shown consistent attacking threat, scoring in eight of their last nine league games. Wrexham arrive on the back of an emphatic 4-1 win over Preston but continue to struggle defensively, having conceded in six consecutive matches. Both teams have a history of scoring in Blackburn's home fixtures, setting the stage for an open contest where attacking prowess meets defensive vulnerability.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Blackburn have scored in 8 of their last 9 league matches, showing strong attacking form.
  • Wrexham have conceded in 6 consecutive matches, highlighting defensive frailties.
  • Both teams have scored in Blackburn's last 6 home matches across all competitions.
  • Wrexham's recent 4-1 victory demonstrates their attacking potential despite defensive issues.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied 55.6% , indicating strong value. Blackburn's consistent scoring record at home combined with Wrexham's ongoing clean sheet drought supports this prediction. Both sides possess attacking threats capable of breaching defenses, making a fixture with goals at both ends highly probable. The level of 83% further reinforces the reliability of this outcome based on recent form and tactical patterns.

Blackburn scoring consistency8 of last 9 matches scored
Strong positive
Wrexham defensive weakness6 consecutive matches conceded
Strong positive
Both teams scoring at Ewood ParkLast 6 home matches with BTTS
Strong positive
Model confidence83% confidence in BTTS outcome
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams possess attacking quality but have shown defensive vulnerabilities, making a match with goals at both ends likely. Blackburn's home scoring consistency and Wrexham's recent offensive displays suggest a lively game where both sides find the net. This BTTS pick aligns well with tactical and form evidence, offering a balanced and football-driven betting angle.

Main risk

Blackburn's attacking consistency and home advantage make them dangerous, but their defensive lapses offer encouragement to a Wrexham side fresh from scoring four against Preston.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The attacking consistency of Blackburn combined with Wrexham's defensive lapses creates a compelling case for both teams to score. This fixture promises open play and goal opportunities from both sides, making BTTS a logical and well-supported selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Blackburn have scored in 8 of their last 9 league matches, showing strong attacking form.

Wrexham have conceded in 6 consecutive matches, highlighting defensive frailties.

Both teams have scored in Blackburn's last 6 home matches across all competitions.

Wrexham's recent 4-1 victory demonstrates their attacking potential despite defensive issues.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have shown a strong trend towards high-scoring games, with an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals.
  • The average goals per match in their recent head-to-heads is 3, indicating a propensity for open, attacking football with multiple goals scored, supporting expectations of an entertaining, goal-rich encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Blackburn2
Avg goals scored
Wrexham1.6
Blackburn1.4
Avg goals conceded
Wrexham2.2
Blackburn80%
BTTS rate
Wrexham80%
Blackburn80%
Over 2.5 goals
Wrexham80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both Blackburn and Wrexham have demonstrated attacking potency alongside defensive vulnerabilities. Blackburn have scored in 8 of 9 recent matches, while Wrexham have conceded in 6 straight games. Both teams have scored in all of Blackburn's last 6 home fixtures, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Blackburn Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Blackburn to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Wrexham Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The 69.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Blackburn show a 80% BTTS rate and Wrexham show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams to Score - Yes.

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Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Blackburn

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
17 Oct 2026A West Brom2-3
13 Oct 2026A Bristol City1-0
10 Oct 2026H Cardiff2-1
19 Sep 2026A Portsmouth2-2
12 Sep 2026H Millwall3-1

Wrexham

WLDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
17 Oct 2026H Preston4-1
13 Oct 2026H West Brom1-2
10 Oct 2026A Derby1-1
19 Sep 2026H Southampton2-1
11 Sep 2026A West Ham0-6
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 67% · edge +15 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Blackburn Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Blackburn to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Wrexham Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Wrexham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Recent form data shows Blackburn scoring 2 goals per game and conceding 1.4, while Wrexham scores 1.6 but concedes 2.2 on average. Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, reflecting open games with defensive lapses. Blackburn's 10 points and Wrexham's 7 points from recent matches highlight competitive momentum for both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Blackburn Over 2.5
80%Wrexham Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have shown a strong trend towards high-scoring games, with an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals. The average goals per match in their recent head-to-heads is 3, indicating a propensity for open, attacking football with multiple goals scored, supporting expectations of an entertaining, goal-rich encounter.

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