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Coventry crestCoventry
v
Fulham crestFulham

Premier League | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

Coventry v Fulham Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 11:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Coventry and Fulham meet in a Premier League clash where both sides have struggled defensively, creating a likely open game. Coventry has conceded an average of 2 goals per match recently, while Fulham's defense has also been vulnerable, allowing 1.2 goals per game. Both teams have shown attacking intent, with Coventry averaging 1.2 goals scored and Fulham 1 goal per match. The fixture carries importance for both sides near the relegation zone, adding urgency to their offensive efforts. This combination of defensive frailty and attacking urgency suggests a match with multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y match pick

Coventry Asian Handicap +0.25

  • Coventry concedes 2 goals per game recently, indicating defensive vulnerability
  • Fulham averages 1.2 goals conceded per match, also showing defensive gaps
  • Both teams have attacking output near or above 1 goal per game
  • Recent matches show Coventry has 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, Fulham 40%
  • Head-to-head meetings average 4.5 goals per game, supporting a high-scoring contest

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 2.5 Goals as a favorable bet with a 58.4% chance, slightly above the implied market chance of 57.8%, indicating a small positive . Both Coventry and Fulham have shown defensive weaknesses and moderate attacking output, with recent games and head-to-head encounters producing multiple goals. The average of 4.5 goals in their last two meetings underscores the potential for an open, goal-rich match. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation based on balanced data and football context.

Model Chance50.1% model chance vs 52.6% implied (-2.5 pts)
Positive
Implied Market Chance50.1% model chance vs 52.6% implied (-2.5 pts)
Neutral
Recent Defensive RecordsCoventry concedes 2, Fulham 1.2 goals per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals Average4.5 goals per game
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 RatesCoventry 60%, Fulham 40%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both teams pushing forward due to their defensive struggles and league position pressure. Coventry's higher recent goals conceded and Fulham's attacking players create a scenario ripe for multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound selection for this fixture.

Main risk

Alex Iwobi scored the decisive goal, but the performance was more impressive than the scoreline suggested.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match goal-scoring potential

“Coventry and Fulham's defensive lapses combined with their need for points set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The average goals in their recent meetings reinforce the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this match.”

Key Data Signals

Coventry Asian Handicap +0.25 evidence

Coventry concedes 2 goals per game recently, indicating defensive vulnerability

Fulham averages 1.2 goals conceded per match, also showing defensive gaps

Both teams have attacking output near or above 1 goal per game

Recent matches show Coventry has 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, Fulham 40%

What To Watch In The Data

Coventry Asian Handicap +0.25 notes

  • In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored was 4.5 per game, indicating a history of high-scoring encounters.
  • This recent trend suggests a fast tempo and defensive gaps exploited by both sides, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals expectation for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Coventry1.2
Avg goals scored
Fulham1
Coventry2
Avg goals conceded
Fulham1.2
Coventry40%
BTTS rate
Fulham60%
Coventry60%
Over 2.5 goals
Fulham40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 82% · edge -5.6 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have shown mixed BTTS rates, with Coventry at 40% and Fulham at 60%, indicating a moderate likelihood of both teams scoring. Combined with their average goals per game and defensive records, the match is expected to feature multiple goals, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals angle rather than a low-scoring affair.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Premier League analysisfull betting preview for Coventry v Fulhamcorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionCoventry to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 31% · edge +13.9 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Coventry Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Fulham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 50.1% for Coventry Asian Handicap +0.25 sits against roughly 52.6% implied by the current price (-2.5 pts). 12 goals conceded: The Sky Blues have shipped 12 goals in their previous five fixtures.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Coventry

LWWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 5L
19 Oct 2026A Tottenham1-3
12 Oct 2026H Newcastle4-1
19 Sep 2026A Nottingham Forest1-0
13 Sep 2026H Brighton0-5
05 Sep 2026A Manchester City0-1

Fulham

WLDDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 4L
17 Oct 2026H Hull City1-0
10 Oct 2026A Ipswich1-2
20 Sep 2026H Manchester United1-1
12 Sep 2026A Liverpool0-0
05 Sep 2026H Crystal Palace2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.3 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Coventry to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Coventry Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Fulham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Coventry has earned 6 points recently with a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Fulham has 5 points and a 40% Over 2.5 rate. Coventry's recent matches have been more open and high-scoring, whereas Fulham's form suggests a slightly more cautious approach. The recent form data supports a moderate expectation of goals, leaning towards the Over 2.5 selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Coventry Over 2.5
40%Fulham Over 2.5
4.5H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored was 4.5 per game, indicating a history of high-scoring encounters. This recent trend suggests a fast tempo and defensive gaps exploited by both sides, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals expectation for this fixture.

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