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QPR crestQPR
v
Swansea crestSwansea

Championship | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

QPR v Swansea Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 18:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

QPR face Swansea in Championship on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00. QPR come in with 6 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Swansea have 12 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Swansea to Win

  • Swansea to Win is rated around 70% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Swansea have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 6 for QPR.
  • Swansea have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Swansea to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • QPR sit 9 in the table, while Swansea sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Swansea to Win around 70% on the latest available numbers. Swansea have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 6 for QPR.

Swansea have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Swansea have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Swansea Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Swansea have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 6 for QPR. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Swansea to Win evidence

Swansea have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 6 for QPR.

Swansea have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Swansea Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

QPR sit 9 in the table, while Swansea sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Swansea to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    QPR1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Swansea1.6
    QPR1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Swansea0.8
    QPR80%
    BTTS rate
    Swansea60%
    QPR60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Swansea60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    QPR

    LWDDD
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 5D 2L
    17 Oct 2026A Birmingham0-3
    14 Oct 2026H Derby4-1
    09 Oct 2026A West Ham1-1
    19 Sep 2026H Preston2-2
    12 Sep 2026A West Brom1-1

    Swansea

    LWWWW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    17 Oct 2026H West Ham0-1
    13 Oct 2026A Millwall1-0
    10 Oct 2026H Norwich2-1
    19 Sep 2026A Lincoln2-1
    12 Sep 2026H Burnley3-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%QPR Over 2.5
    60%Swansea Over 2.5
    1.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: QPR sit at 60% and Swansea sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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