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Rangers crestRangers
v
ST Johnstone crestST Johnstone

Premiership | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

Rangers v ST Johnstone Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 08:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rangers face ST Johnstone in a Premiership clash where Rangers have been solid defensively, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, while ST Johnstone allow 0.8. Both teams show moderate attacking output, with Rangers averaging 1.6 goals and ST Johnstone 1.0 per match. Recent form data indicates a cautious tempo, with Rangers' matches going over 2.5 goals only 40% of the time and ST Johnstone even less at 20%. This suggests a tactical battle likely to limit scoring opportunities, making a low-scoring game probable.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Rangers concede only 0.6 goals per game, showing defensive strength
  • ST Johnstone score 1.0 goal per game with a conservative attack
  • Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates: 40% (Rangers) and 20% (ST Johnstone)
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.2 across 10 matches, indicating moderate scoring
  • Rangers average nearly 20 shots per game but convert cautiously, supporting fewer goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 65.5% chance, reflecting both teams' defensive solidity and modest scoring rates. Rangers' strong defensive record and ST Johnstone's conservative attack reduce the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The average goals in their head-to-head matches support a controlled tempo. The at 2.75 offer positive value given the implied chance is only 36.4%, making this a statistically sound selection with good .

Defensive RecordsRangers concede 0.6, ST Johnstone 0.8 goals per game
Strong positive
Scoring RatesRangers 1.6, ST Johnstone 1.0 goals per game
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals FrequencyRangers 40%, ST Johnstone 20%
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals2.2 goals per match over 10 games
Positive
Market Odds51.4% model chance vs 36.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and tactical caution

“The defensive resilience of Rangers combined with ST Johnstone's cautious approach makes a low-scoring game the most probable scenario in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Rangers concede only 0.6 goals per game, showing defensive strength

ST Johnstone score 1.0 goal per game with a conservative attack

H2H average goals stand at 2.2 across 10 matches, indicating moderate scoring

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating a tendency towards moderate scoring rather than high-scoring affairs.
  • This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a controlled tempo and fewer goal-scoring opportunities, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rangers1.6
Avg goals scored
ST Johnstone1
Rangers0.6
Avg goals conceded
ST Johnstone0.8
Rangers40%
BTTS rate
ST Johnstone60%
Rangers40%
Over 2.5 goals
ST Johnstone20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 39%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Both teams show restrained attacking output and defensive discipline, leading to a low likelihood of both teams scoring. Rangers have a 40% BTTS rate, while ST Johnstone's is 60%, but the overall goal averages and cautious play suggest a controlled game with fewer goals and limited BTTS occurrences.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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ST Johnstone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 31%
6.4
Check odds @ 6.4
ST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
Rangers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
7
Check odds @ 7
Rangers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 39%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 51.4% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 36.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Rangers and 20% for ST Johnstone, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rangers

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 1L
17 Oct 2026A Dundee2-2
10 Oct 2026H Kilmarnock3-1
20 Sep 2026A Celtic1-0
09 Sep 2026H ST Mirren1-0
05 Sep 2026H Motherwell1-0

ST Johnstone

DWDLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
17 Oct 2026H Dundee Utd1-1
11 Oct 2026A Aberdeen1-0
19 Sep 2026H Falkirk1-1
09 Sep 2026H Celtic0-1
06 Sep 2026H Hibernian2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
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ST Johnstone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 31%
6.4
Check odds @ 6.4
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
ST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
Rangers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
7
Check odds @ 7
Rangers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Recent form data shows Rangers have scored 1.6 goals per game while conceding only 0.6, indicating strong defense and moderate attack. ST Johnstone's 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game reflect a similarly cautious approach. Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Rangers Over 2.5
20%ST Johnstone Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating a tendency towards moderate scoring rather than high-scoring affairs. This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a controlled tempo and fewer goal-scoring opportunities, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals selection.

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