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Ross County crestRoss County
v
Airdrie United crestAirdrie United

League One | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

Ross County v Airdrie United Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ross County, leading League One with 28 points, face fifth-placed Airdrie United, who have accumulated 13 points. Ross County's strong defensive record and high scoring rate contrast with Airdrie United's more modest attack and defense. Despite the ranking gap, Airdrie United's resilience and tactical discipline make them a challenging opponent, especially away from home. This fixture offers Airdrie United a chance to secure valuable points and test Ross County's consistency, setting up an intriguing contest with potential for cautious play and tactical adjustments from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Airdrie United Draw No Bet

  • Ross County lead the league with 28 points; Airdrie United sit fifth with 13 points.
  • Ross County average 5.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per recent form, showing strong offense and defense.
  • Airdrie United have a 60% rate of both teams to score and 60% over 2.5 goals in recent matches, indicating openness.
  • Model assigns a 42% chance to Airdrie United Draw No Bet with a positive of 23%.
  • Head-to-head average goals are 3.71 over seven matches, suggesting potential for goals and competitive balance.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Airdrie United Draw No Bet due to their solid recent form and the value offered by the current . Despite Ross County's league lead and strong scoring, Airdrie United's ability to avoid defeat away and the competitive head-to-head history support this pick. The model's 42% chance significantly exceeds the implied 19% chance from , indicating a strong value opportunity. The positive and level of 68% reinforce the bet's appeal, while the balanced recent form and goal trends suggest a competitive match where Airdrie United can avoid loss.

Model Chance34% model chance vs 19% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance34% model chance vs 19% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge34% model chance vs 19% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormAirdrie United showing resilience and goal involvement
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals3.71 average goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Airdrie United Draw No Bet offers a tactical and data-backed opportunity to capitalize on Airdrie United's resilience and Ross County's occasional defensive vulnerabilities. While Ross County leads the league with impressive form, Airdrie United's ability to compete and avoid defeat away from home makes this a compelling selection. The bet balances tactical caution with statistical value, reflecting the competitive nature of this League One clash.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical balance and value opportunity

“Airdrie United's disciplined approach and ability to secure points on the road make the Draw No Bet market an attractive angle against a high-flying Ross County side that can occasionally be caught out.”

Key Data Signals

Airdrie United Draw No Bet evidence

Ross County lead the league with 28 points; Airdrie United sit fifth with 13 points.

Ross County average 5.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per recent form, showing strong offense and defense.

Model assigns a 42% chance to Airdrie United Draw No Bet with a positive of 23%.

What To Watch In The Data

Airdrie United Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals total 3.71, indicating a trend toward open, attacking games with multiple goals.
  • This suggests a tempo that favors goal-scoring opportunities and supports the potential for a competitive match with chances for both teams to impact the scoreline.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ross County5.2
Avg goals scored
Airdrie United1.4
Ross County0.4
Avg goals conceded
Airdrie United1
Ross County40%
BTTS rate
Airdrie United60%
Ross County80%
Over 2.5 goals
Airdrie United60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Recent form shows Airdrie United have a 60% rate for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, while Ross County have an 80% over 2.5 rate but only 40% BTTS. The head-to-head average of 3.71 goals suggests this fixture often produces multiple goals, supporting a dynamic game with chances at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAirdrie United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Airdrie United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
The 34% for Airdrie United Draw No Bet sits against roughly 19% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Ross County have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 10 for Airdrie United.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ross County

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 1D 0L
17 Oct 2026A Queen of the South7-1
10 Oct 2026A Montrose5-0
03 Oct 2026H Alloa Athletic4-1
19 Sep 2026A Cove Rangers2-0
15 Sep 2026H Queen of the South8-0

Airdrie United

LDWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
17 Oct 2026H Hamilton Academical1-2
10 Oct 2026A East Kilbride2-2
03 Oct 2026H Montrose1-0
19 Sep 2026A Peterhead2-1
12 Sep 2026H Alloa Athletic1-0
Market aligned with main pickAirdrie United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Airdrie United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Ross County's recent form is dominant, averaging 5.2 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per match, reflecting strong offense and defense. Airdrie United have a more modest 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded, but their resilience and ability to avoid defeat away contribute to the model's in the Draw No Bet selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Ross County Over 2.5
60%Airdrie United Over 2.5
3.71H2H avg goals
Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals total 3.71, indicating a trend toward open, attacking games with multiple goals. This suggests a tempo that favors goal-scoring opportunities and supports the potential for a competitive match with chances for both teams to impact the scoreline.

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