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Harrogate Town crestHarrogate Town
v
Sutton Utd crestSutton Utd

National League | Sat 24 Oct, 12:30

Harrogate Town v Sutton Utd Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 16:05 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Harrogate Town enters this National League clash in strong form, sitting second in the table with 28 points, showcasing a solid defensive record and effective attacking play. Sutton Utd, positioned 13th with 18 points, have struggled for consistency and goal-scoring, averaging fewer goals and conceding more. Harrogate's recent performances highlight their ability to control matches and secure points, while Sutton Utd face an uphill battle to disrupt their opponents' rhythm. The tactical setup suggests Harrogate Town will leverage home advantage and superior form to press for victory in this midweek fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Harrogate Town to Win

  • Harrogate Town ranks 2nd in the National League with 28 points, showing strong league form.
  • Sutton Utd sits 13th with 18 points, reflecting inconsistent results and weaker attack.
  • Harrogate Town has a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potency.
  • Sutton Utd concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 74% chance for Harrogate Town to win, reflecting their superior league position, recent form, and attacking efficiency. Harrogate's ability to score and defend effectively contrasts with Sutton Utd's struggles, particularly in goal concession and scoring frequency. The 14.1% at of 1.67 indicates this is a positive value bet with a strong level of 74%. The data quality is solid for both teams, supporting a reliable prediction based on current season dynamics.

League PositionHarrogate Town 2nd vs Sutton Utd 13th
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsHarrogate 12 vs Sutton 3
Strong positive
Goals Conceded Per GameHarrogate 1.0 vs Sutton 1.8
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateHarrogate 60% vs Sutton 20%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Harrogate Town's superior form and league standing make them the clear favorites to secure victory. Their balanced attack and defense provide a tactical edge over Sutton Utd, who have struggled to find consistency and goals. This match should see Harrogate Town capitalize on their momentum to claim three points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Harrogate Town's consistent performances and strong defensive record position them well to dominate this fixture. Sutton Utd's defensive frailties and lower scoring rate make it difficult for them to challenge effectively.”

Key Data Signals

Harrogate Town to Win evidence

Harrogate Town ranks 2nd in the National League with 28 points, showing strong league form.

Sutton Utd sits 13th with 18 points, reflecting inconsistent results and weaker attack.

Harrogate Town has a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potency.

Sutton Utd concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Harrogate Town to Win notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, suggesting a moderately open game with scoring opportunities.
  • Harrogate Town's recent matches have a higher over 2.5 goals rate, supporting the likelihood of a match with multiple goals, driven by their attacking style and Sutton Utd's defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Harrogate Town2
Avg goals scored
Sutton Utd1
Harrogate Town1
Avg goals conceded
Sutton Utd1.8
Harrogate Town40%
BTTS rate
Sutton Utd60%
Harrogate Town60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sutton Utd20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Harrogate Town's matches have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games. Sutton Utd's lower 20% rate suggests a more cautious approach, but their defensive weaknesses could lead to goals conceded. Both teams' BTTS rates (Harrogate 40%, Sutton 60%) suggest a moderate chance of both teams scoring, with a slight lean towards Harrogate controlling the game.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHarrogate Town to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 61% · edge +13.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Harrogate Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The 74% for Harrogate Town to Win sits against roughly 60.6% implied by the current price (+13.4 pts). Harrogate Town have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 3 for Sutton Utd.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Harrogate Town

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 3L
10 Oct 2026A Woking1-0
03 Oct 2026H AFC Hornchurch3-0
29 Sep 2026A Hartlepool1-0
26 Sep 2026H Eastleigh4-1
19 Sep 2026A Boreham Wood1-4

Sutton Utd

LDLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
09 Oct 2026H Boreham Wood0-2
03 Oct 2026A Kidderminster Harriers1-1
30 Sep 2026A Tamworth0-2
26 Sep 2026H Forest Green3-3
19 Sep 2026A FC Halifax Town1-1
Market aligned with main pickHarrogate Town to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 61% · edge +13.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Harrogate Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Harrogate Town's recent form is strong, accumulating 12 points with a solid goal difference, reflecting effective attacking and defensive performances. Sutton Utd's 3 points and lower goal output highlight their struggles to maintain consistency, suggesting Harrogate Town's momentum is a key factor for the expected outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Harrogate Town Over 2.5
20%Sutton Utd Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, suggesting a moderately open game with scoring opportunities. Harrogate Town's recent matches have a higher over 2.5 goals rate, supporting the likelihood of a match with multiple goals, driven by their attacking style and Sutton Utd's defensive vulnerabilities.

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