Football Stats Hub

Stoke City crestStoke City
v
Bristol City crestBristol City

Championship | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

Stoke City v Bristol City Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 17:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stoke City face Bristol City in Championship on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00. With Stoke winning six of their last eight league matches and Bristol City managing just one victory in six, the contrasting momentum makes this an intriguing contest.

BT4Y best bet

Stoke City to win

  • At 2.45, Stoke City to win implies roughly 41%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
  • Their willingness to attack without sacrificing defensive organisation has become an important feature of Robins' system.
  • Stoke City have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Bristol City.
  • Bristol City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Stoke City to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Stoke City sit 3 in the table, while Bristol City sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 56% for Stoke City to win sits against roughly 41% implied by the current price. Stoke City have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Bristol City. Their willingness to attack without sacrificing defensive organisation has become an important feature of Robins' system.

Model chance vs price56% model chance against roughly 41% implied
Strong positive
Stoke City have the stronger recent points return, taking 12.Visible data support
Positive
Bristol City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Their willingness to attack without sacrificing defensive organisation has.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Stoke City Win is the preferred angle because their willingness to attack without sacrificing defensive organisation has become an important feature of Robins' system. Stoke City have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Bristol City. Stoke City carry the stronger scoring threat, but Bristol City must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Stoke City carry the stronger scoring threat, but Bristol City must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Stoke City to win evidence

Their willingness to attack without sacrificing defensive organisation has become an important feature of Robins' system.

Stoke City have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Bristol City.

Bristol City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Stoke City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Stoke City sit 3 in the table, while Bristol City sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Stoke City to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Stoke City1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Bristol City0.4
    Stoke City1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Bristol City0.8
    Stoke City80%
    BTTS rate
    Bristol City20%
    Stoke City80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Bristol City0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Championship hubStoke City v Bristol City predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickStoke City to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 41% · edge +15 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Stoke City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 74%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Stoke City to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Stoke City

    WLWWW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 1D 3L
    17 Oct 2026A Derby1-0
    13 Oct 2026H Middlesbrough2-3
    10 Oct 2026A Bolton2-1
    19 Sep 2026H Sheffield Utd2-1
    12 Sep 2026A Watford2-1

    Bristol City

    LLDWL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    17 Oct 2026H Sheffield Utd0-1
    13 Oct 2026H Blackburn0-1
    10 Oct 2026A Charlton1-1
    18 Sep 2026H Watford1-0
    15 Sep 2026H Lincoln0-1
    Market aligned with main pickStoke City to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 41% · edge +15 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Stoke City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Stoke City Over 2.5
    0%Bristol City Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Stoke City sit at 80% and Bristol City sit at 0% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…