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Russia crestRussia
v
Burkina Faso crestBurkina Faso

Friendlies | Fri 05 Jun, 18:00

Russia v Burkina Faso Stats

Data last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026, 04:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Russia face Burkina Faso in Friendlies on Fri 05 Jun, 18:00. Russia host Burkina Faso in an international friendly at Volgograd Arena on June 5, 2026. Russia's stable friendly home record of fifteen wins sits alongside Burkina Faso avoiding defeat in ten of their last twelve matches.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Covering Russia or the Draw represents a more conservative alternative option

  • At 1.36, Russia Win implies roughly 74%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • There is a defensive base there, and conceding fewer than a goal per game across the last six is not to be dismissed.
  • Burkina Faso have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Russia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Covering Russia or the Draw represents a more conservative alternative option is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 74% while the model sits nearer 27% (-46.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Burkina Faso Draw No Bet shows a +44.4 pts edge at 4.7.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Russia Win sits against roughly 74% implied by the current price. Burkina Faso have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Russia Win angle more than a raw possession edge. There is a defensive base there, and conceding fewer than a goal per game across the last six is not to be dismissed.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 74% implied
Negative
Burkina Faso have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
There is a defensive base there, and conceding fewer.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Russia Win is the preferred angle because there is a defensive base there, and conceding fewer than a goal per game across the last six is not to be dismissed. Burkina Faso have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Russia Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Those numbers suggest a team that usually stay competitive but do not always rip matches open.

Main risk

Those numbers suggest a team that usually stay competitive but do not always rip matches open.

Key Data Signals

Russia Win evidence

There is a defensive base there, and conceding fewer than a goal per game across the last six.

Burkina Faso have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Russia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Russia Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Russia1
    Avg goals scored
    Burkina Faso3
    Russia0.67
    Avg goals conceded
    Burkina Faso0.5
    Russia33%
    BTTS rate
    Burkina Faso50%
    Russia33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Burkina Faso50%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 49% · edge +13.2 pts
    2.03
    Check odds @ 2.03
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 56%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 49%
    1.69
    Check odds @ 1.69
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
    1.76
    Check odds @ 1.76
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 24%
    2.72
    Check odds @ 2.72
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Russia

    LDW
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    28 May 2026A Egypt0-1
    31 Mar 2026H Mali0-0
    27 Mar 2026H Nicaragua3-1

    Burkina Faso

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    31 Mar 2026H Guinea-Bissau1-1
    28 Mar 2026H Guinea-Bissau5-0
    Market aligned with main pickRussia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 74% · edge -46.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.04
    Check odds @ 1.04
    Russia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    1.13
    Check odds @ 1.13
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickRussia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 74% · edge -46.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 56%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
    1.76
    Check odds @ 1.76
    Russia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    1.13
    Check odds @ 1.13
    Russia to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Russia6.67
    Avg corners for
    Burkina Faso-
    Russia11
    Avg total corners
    Burkina Faso-
    Russia1.67
    Avg yellow cards
    Burkina Faso-
    Russia16
    Avg shots
    Burkina Faso-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 46% · edge +23.1 pts
    2.18
    Check odds @ 2.18
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    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2.92
    Check odds @ 2.92
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Russia wins
    0Draws
    0Burkina Faso wins
    Market aligned with main pickRussia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 74% · edge -46.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 56%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
    1.76
    Check odds @ 1.76
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Russia to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Russia5
    Played
    Burkina Faso4
    Russia1.8
    Avg goals for
    Burkina Faso2
    Russia0.4
    Avg goals against
    Burkina Faso1.5
    Russia3
    Clean sheets
    Burkina Faso1
    Market aligned with main pickRussia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 74% · edge -46.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Russia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    1.13
    Check odds @ 1.13
    Season data supports Russia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    33%Russia Over 2.5
    50%Burkina Faso Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Russia sit at 33% and Burkina Faso sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.