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Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach
v
Aston Villa crestAston Villa

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 15 Aug, 14:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach v Aston Villa Stats

Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 19:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach face Aston Villa in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 15 Aug, 14:30. They created enough against the Champions League holders to win a different sort of match, but creating chances and taking them remain separate issues.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 1.44, Over 2 implies roughly 69%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 78%.
  • A 1-2 Correct Score bet loses if the game ends 2-2 or 1-3, though those results satisfy the Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS market.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 100% for Aston Villa, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach are carrying more of the scoring load at 5 goals per match, with Aston Villa at 2.4.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 80% for Aston Villa show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 78% for Over 2 sits against roughly 69% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 100% for Aston Villa, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A 1-2 Correct Score bet loses if the game ends 2-2 or 1-3, though those results satisfy the Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS market.

Model chance vs price78% model chance against roughly 69% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.Visible data support
Positive
Borussia Mönchengladbach are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
A 1-2 Correct Score bet loses if the game.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because a 1-2 Correct Score bet loses if the game ends 2-2 or 1-3, though those results satisfy the Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS market. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 100% for Aston Villa, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Those opponents represent a much tougher level than much of Gladbach’s preparation, but there is still a recurring defensive demand here: Villa have not been getting through their strongest tests cheaply.

Main risk

Those opponents represent a much tougher level than much of Gladbach’s preparation, but there is still a recurring defensive demand here: Villa have not been getting through their strongest tests cheaply.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

A 1-2 Correct Score bet loses if the game ends 2-2 or 1-3, though those results satisfy the.

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 100% for Aston Villa, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Borussia Mönchengladbach are carrying more of the scoring load at 5 goals per match, with Aston Villa at 2.4.

BTTS rates of 60% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 80% for Aston Villa show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Borussia Mönchengladbach5
Avg goals scored
Aston Villa2.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach0.8
Avg goals conceded
Aston Villa1.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach60%
BTTS rate
Aston Villa80%
Borussia Mönchengladbach100%
Over 2.5 goals
Aston Villa100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Aston Villa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 1L
12 Aug 2026A SSVg Velbert8-0
01 Aug 2026A Hansa Rostock3-1
25 Jul 2026A Rot-Weiß Essen2-1
18 Jul 2026A Wuppertaler SV6-0
20 May 2026A Spelle-Venhaus6-2

Aston Villa

LWLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 4L
07 Aug 2026A Bayern München1-2
04 Aug 2026A BG Pathum United3-1
28 Jul 2026H Real Sociedad2-4
25 Jul 2026A FC Porto1-2
21 Jul 2026A Walsall5-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Aston Villa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Aston Villa to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
0Draws
0Aston Villa wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Aston Villa to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Over 2.5 Goals, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Borussia Mönchengladbach8
Played
Aston Villa7
Borussia Mönchengladbach3.6
Avg goals for
Aston Villa2
Borussia Mönchengladbach1.3
Avg goals against
Aston Villa1.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach2
Clean sheets
Aston Villa1
Best odds for this sectionBorussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Aston Villa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Aston Villa to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Season data supports Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5
100%Aston Villa Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Borussia Mönchengladbach sit at 100% and Aston Villa sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.