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Belgium crestBelgium
v
Tunisia crestTunisia

Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 14:00

Belgium v Tunisia Stats

Data last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026, 10:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Belgium face Tunisia in Friendlies on Sat 06 Jun, 14:00. There are no points on the table, no tournament jeopardy in the immediate wording of the fixture, and yet the emotional temperature is obvious. International Friendly Analysis, Form and Key Stats.

BT4Y best bet

Wins because Belgium won the match and the cumulative goal total reached three

  • At 4/5, Wins because Belgium won the match and the cumulative goal total reached three implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Their scoring sequence features high-output displays, highlighting regular penetration against opposition defensive structures.
  • Belgium have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tunisia.
  • Tunisia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the Wins because Belgium won the match and the cumulative goal total reached three angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Wins because Belgium won the match and the cumulative goal total reached three sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Belgium have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tunisia. Their scoring sequence features high-output displays, highlighting regular penetration against opposition defensive structures.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Positive
Belgium have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Tunisia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Their scoring sequence features high-output displays, highlighting regular penetration.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Belgium Win is the preferred angle because their scoring sequence features high-output displays, highlighting regular penetration against opposition defensive structures. Belgium have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tunisia. That is the awkward truth for defenders: sometimes the striker hurts you without touching the ball, which feels deeply unfair but is unfortunately legal.

Main risk

That is the awkward truth for defenders: sometimes the striker hurts you without touching the ball, which feels deeply unfair but is unfortunately legal.

Key Data Signals

Wins because Belgium won the match and the cumulative goal total reached three evidence

Their scoring sequence features high-output displays, highlighting regular penetration against opposition defensive structures.

Belgium have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tunisia.

Tunisia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the Belgium Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Wins because Belgium won the match and the cumulative goal total reached three notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Belgium4
    Avg corners for
    Tunisia4
    Belgium8
    Avg total corners
    Tunisia6
    Belgium1.67
    Avg yellow cards
    Tunisia1
    Belgium11.33
    Avg shots
    Tunisia14
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 29% vs implied 50% · edge -21 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Friendlies hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Belgium2.67
    Avg goals scored
    Tunisia0.33
    Belgium1
    Avg goals conceded
    Tunisia0.33
    Belgium67%
    BTTS rate
    Tunisia0%
    Belgium33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Tunisia0%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBelgium to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 75% · edge -5.3 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Belgium to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Belgium

    WDW
    Last 52W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 0L
    02 Jun 2026A Croatia2-0
    01 Apr 2026A Mexico1-1
    28 Mar 2026A USA5-2

    Tunisia

    LDW
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    01 Jun 2026A Austria0-1
    01 Apr 2026A Canada0-0
    29 Mar 2026A Haiti1-0
    Market aligned with main pickBelgium to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 75% · edge -5.3 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.05
    Check odds @ 1.05
    Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Belgium wins
    0Draws
    0Tunisia wins
    23 Jun 2018Belgium v Tunisia5-2
    Market aligned with main pickBelgium to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 75% · edge -5.3 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Belgium to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Belgium4
    Played
    Tunisia4
    Belgium3.3
    Avg goals for
    Tunisia0.3
    Belgium0.8
    Avg goals against
    Tunisia1.5
    Belgium2
    Clean sheets
    Tunisia2
    Market aligned with main pickBelgium to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 75% · edge -5.3 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Season data supports Belgium to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    33%Belgium Over 2.5
    0%Tunisia Over 2.5
    7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Belgium sit at 33% and Tunisia sit at 0% with the H2H average at 7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Belgium v Tunisia prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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