Tunisia
NetherlandsWorld Cup | Fri 26 Jun, 00:00
Tunisia v Netherlands Stats
Data last updated: Sun 19 Jul 2026, 02:51 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Tunisia face Netherlands in World Cup on Fri 26 Jun, 00:00. Netherlands have scored seven goals in Group F, showing immense power through Gakpo and Brobbey. However, their defensive line has conceded in six straight fixtures. Netherlands average 59% possession across their recent fixtures, demonstrating clear structural superiority and passing dominance.
Netherlands 3-1 Tunisia Correct Score Rationale A 3-1 scoreline aligns precisely with the tournament data track recorded by both nations in Group F
- At 12/5, Tunisia Win implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
- For all the orange swagger, there is still a defensive crack that Tunisia must try to jab at repeatedly rather than politely admire.
- Netherlands have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tunisia.
- Netherlands have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the Tunisia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 27% for Tunisia Win sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Netherlands have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tunisia. For all the orange swagger, there is still a defensive crack that Tunisia must try to jab at repeatedly rather than politely admire.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Tunisia Win is the preferred angle because for all the orange swagger, there is still a defensive crack that Tunisia must try to jab at repeatedly rather than politely admire from a distance. Netherlands have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tunisia. Football is not a microwave meal, however much desperate supporters wish it were.
Football is not a microwave meal, however much desperate supporters wish it were.
Key Data Signals
Tunisia Win evidence
For all the orange swagger, there is still a defensive crack that Tunisia must try to jab at.
Netherlands have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tunisia.
Netherlands have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the Tunisia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
What To Watch In The Data
Tunisia Win notes
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Goals, BTTS and over/under
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Tunisia
Netherlands
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
World Cup
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
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