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Getafe crestGetafe
v
FK Partizan crestFK Partizan

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 20 Aug, 20:00

Getafe v FK Partizan Stats

Data last updated: Tue 06 Oct 2026, 08:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Getafe face FK Partizan in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 20 Aug, 20:00. Partizan have scored 10 goals across their two Conference League qualifying ties, winning 5-0 and 5-1 on aggregate. Getafe’s home advantage and Partizan’s unbeaten away streak set a competitive tone.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Under 2

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 58%, above the 29% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 8/11, Under 2 implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 29%.
  • Furthermore, Getafe produced only two shots on target against Alaves and remain without Christantus Uche.
Price warning

Under 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 58% while the model sits nearer 29% (-28.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 8.5 Corners shows a +15 pts edge at 1.83.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 29% for Under 2 sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Furthermore, Getafe produced only two shots on target against Alaves and remain without Christantus Uche.

Model chance vs price29% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Negative
Furthermore, Getafe produced only two shots on target.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -28.9 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Under 2.5 Goals. However, Sasa Ilic’s side face a steep rise in opposition level at the Coliseum.

Main risk

However, Sasa Ilic’s side face a steep rise in opposition level at the Coliseum.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

Selection: Under 2.5 Goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Getafe

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Getafe yet.

FK Partizan

WWWW
Last 54W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 0L
13 Aug 2026A FK Tobol Kostanay2-1
06 Aug 2026H FK Tobol Kostanay3-0
30 Jul 2026A UNA Strassen1-0
23 Jul 2026H UNA Strassen4-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 33% · edge +11.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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FK Partizan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Getafe to WinBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Getafe Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
FK Partizan to WinBet365 guide price · model 15%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Getafe-
Avg goals scored
FK Partizan2.5
Getafe-
Avg goals conceded
FK Partizan0.25
Getafe-
BTTS rate
FK Partizan25%
Getafe-
Over 2.5 goals
FK Partizan75%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 29% vs implied 59% · edge -29.8 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Under 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
FK Partizan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Getafe to WinBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Getafe Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
FK Partizan to WinBet365 guide price · model 15%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Getafe Over 2.5
75%FK Partizan Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Furthermore, Getafe produced only two shots on target against Alaves and remain without Christantus Uche.

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