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Algeria crestAlgeria

Friendlies | Thu 11 Jun, 01:00

Bolivia v Algeria Stats

Data last updated: Tue 30 Jun 2026, 11:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bolivia face Algeria in Friendlies on Thu 11 Jun, 01:00. Óscar Villegas leads Bolivia into a fixture that looks ideal for testing defensive organisation after a bruising recent result. Algeria’s strong sequence of three victories from five outlines their massive favoritative superiority over a vulnerable Bolivian setup.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale A controlled two-goal victory for Algeria aligns perfectly with the contrasting efficiency levels of both teams

  • At 21/10, BTTS No implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • Conversely, Bolivia are struggling significantly after a heavy 0-4 defeat to Scotland and failing to secure a clean sheet in five of their previous.
  • Bolivia show a 25% BTTS rate and Algeria show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bolivia average 1 goals scored and Algeria average 2.67, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for BTTS No sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Bolivia show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Algeria show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Conversely, Bolivia are struggling significantly after a heavy 0-4 defeat to Scotland and failing to secure a clean sheet in five of their previous.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Strong positive
Bolivia show a 25% BTTS rate and Algeria show a.Visible data support
Positive
Bolivia average 1 goals scored and Algeria average 2.67, so.Visible data support
Positive
Conversely, Bolivia are struggling significantly after a heavy 0-4.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: BTTS No is the preferred angle because conversely, Bolivia are struggling significantly after a heavy 0-4 defeat to Scotland and failing to secure a clean sheet in five of their previous six matches, leaving them highly vulnerable. Bolivia show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Algeria show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The extra concern is that Bolivia have failed to keep opponents out in 5 of their previous 6 games, conceding that scoring level in that wider stretch.

Main risk

The extra concern is that Bolivia have failed to keep opponents out in 5 of their previous 6 games, conceding 9 goals in that wider stretch.

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

Conversely, Bolivia are struggling significantly after a heavy 0-4 defeat to Scotland and failing to secure a clean.

Bolivia show a 25% BTTS rate and Algeria show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bolivia average 1 goals scored and Algeria average 2.67, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting BTTS No.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bolivia3.5
Avg corners for
Algeria4
Bolivia8.5
Avg total corners
Algeria10
Bolivia2
Avg yellow cards
Algeria2
Bolivia10
Avg shots
Algeria7

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bolivia1
Avg goals scored
Algeria2.67
Bolivia1.5
Avg goals conceded
Algeria0
Bolivia25%
BTTS rate
Algeria0%
Bolivia50%
Over 2.5 goals
Algeria33%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 80% · edge -12.2 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS No does not fully support the current price: Bolivia concede 1.5 on average and Algeria score 2.67, so the clean-sheet route has a data base.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBolivia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 22% · edge +23.5 pts
4.65
Check odds @ 4.65
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Bolivia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8
Check odds @ 8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Algeria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Algeria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetfred guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
Bolivia Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bolivia

LWLD
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
06 Jun 2026H Scotland0-4
15 Mar 2026H Trinidad and Tobago3-0
25 Jan 2026H Mexico0-1
18 Jan 2026H Panama1-1

Algeria

WDW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
03 Jun 2026A Netherlands1-0
31 Mar 2026H Uruguay0-0
27 Mar 2026H Guatemala7-0
Best odds for this sectionBolivia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 22% · edge +23.5 pts
4.65
Check odds @ 4.65
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Bolivia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8
Check odds @ 8
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Algeria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Algeria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Bolivia wins
0Draws
1Algeria wins
22 Mar 2024Algeria v Bolivia3-2
Best odds for this sectionBolivia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 13% · edge +14.5 pts
8
Check odds @ 8
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Algeria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetfred guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
The head-to-head sample gives context for Bolivia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Bolivia5
Played
Algeria4
Bolivia0.8
Avg goals for
Algeria3
Bolivia2
Avg goals against
Algeria0
Bolivia1
Clean sheets
Algeria4
Best odds for this sectionBolivia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 22% · edge +23.5 pts
4.65
Check odds @ 4.65
Load more odds for this section
Bolivia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8
Check odds @ 8
Algeria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Algeria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Season data supports Bolivia Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Bolivia Over 2.5
33%Algeria Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bolivia sit at 50% and Algeria sit at 33% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.