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Burnley crestBurnley
v
Manchester City crestManchester City

Premier League | Wed 22 Apr, 20:00

Burnley v Manchester City Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 01:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Burnley face Manchester City in Premier League on Wed 22 Apr, 20:00. Relentless Shot Volume: Manchester City average a staggering 15.37 shots per Premier League match, a high-volume attacking frequency that repeatedly tests goalkeeper parries and defensive blocks.

BT4Y best bet

Manchester City Win

  • Manchester City Win is rated around 70% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Defensive Workload: Burnley concede 1.97 goals per game and have only managed 4 clean sheets all season, indicating they are frequently forced into desperate.
  • Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 1 for Burnley.
  • Manchester City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Manchester City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Burnley sit 19 in the table, while Manchester City sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Manchester City Win around 70% on the latest available numbers. Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 1 for Burnley. Defensive Workload: Burnley concede 1.97 goals per game and have only managed 4 clean sheets all season, indicating they are frequently forced into desperate.

Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 11.Visible data support
Positive
Manchester City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Workload: Burnley concede 1.97 goals per game.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Manchester City Win is the preferred angle because defensive Workload: Burnley concede that scoring level per game and have only managed 4 clean sheets all season, indicating they are frequently forced into desperate clearances under pressure. Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 1 for Burnley. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Manchester City Win evidence

Defensive Workload: Burnley concede 1.97 goals per game and have only managed 4 clean sheets all season, indicating.

Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 1 for Burnley.

Manchester City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Manchester City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Burnley sit 19 in the table, while Manchester City sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Manchester City Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Burnley5.25
    Avg corners for
    Manchester City9
    Burnley9.75
    Avg total corners
    Manchester City12
    Burnley1.75
    Avg yellow cards
    Manchester City2.5
    Burnley7
    Avg shots
    Manchester City19

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Burnley0.4
    Avg goals scored
    Manchester City1.8
    Burnley2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Manchester City0.8
    Burnley40%
    BTTS rate
    Manchester City60%
    Burnley40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Manchester City60%

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Burnley

    LLLDL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 7L
    19 Apr 2026A Nottingham Forest1-4
    11 Apr 2026H Brighton0-2
    21 Mar 2026A Fulham1-3
    14 Mar 2026H Bournemouth0-0
    03 Mar 2026A Everton0-2

    Manchester City

    WWDDW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 3D 0L
    19 Apr 2026H Arsenal2-1
    12 Apr 2026A Chelsea3-0
    14 Mar 2026A West Ham1-1
    04 Mar 2026H Nottingham Forest2-2
    28 Feb 2026A Leeds1-0

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Burnley wins
    0Draws
    10Manchester City wins
    27 Sep 2025Manchester City v Burnley5-1
    31 Jan 2024Manchester City v Burnley3-1
    11 Aug 2023Burnley v Manchester City0-3
    18 Mar 2023Manchester City v Burnley6-0
    02 Apr 2022Burnley v Manchester City0-2
    16 Oct 2021Manchester City v Burnley2-0

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    Season team stats

    Premier League

    Burnley38
    Played
    Manchester City38
    Burnley1
    Avg goals for
    Manchester City2
    Burnley2
    Avg goals against
    Manchester City0.9
    Burnley4
    Clean sheets
    Manchester City16

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    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Manchester City7838239642
    19Burnley223841024-37
    Burnley sit in position 19, while Manchester City sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Manchester City Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Burnley Over 2.5
    60%Manchester City Over 2.5
    3.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Burnley sit at 40% and Manchester City sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

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