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GIL Vicentev
Casa PiaPrimeira Liga | Mon 27 Apr, 20:15
GIL Vicente v Casa Pia Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 3.75, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 27% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 57%, so the current line is showing a +30-point value edge.
- GIL Vicente have scored in 60% of the recent sample and Casa Pia have scored in 40%, with BTTS rates of 40% and 40%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: GIL Vicente have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Casa Pia have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 3.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 27% · edge +30 pts
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
60%GIL Vicente Over 2.5
40%Casa Pia Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
GIL Vicente
LDWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 3D 4L
18 Apr 2026H Guimaraes0-1
13 Apr 2026A Tondela2-2
03 Apr 2026H AVS3-0
21 Mar 2026A Santa Clara0-1
14 Mar 2026H Alverca2-2
Casa Pia
LDLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 101W 5D 4L
23 Apr 2026H SC Braga0-1
18 Apr 2026H Santa Clara0-0
12 Apr 2026A Alverca1-3
06 Apr 2026H Benfica1-1
20 Mar 2026A Estrela0-4
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 61% · edge +5.6 pts
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
GIL Vicente1.4
Avg goals scoredCasa Pia0.4
GIL Vicente1.2
Avg goals concededCasa Pia1.8
GIL Vicente40%
BTTS rateCasa Pia40%
GIL Vicente60%
Over 2.5 goalsCasa Pia40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 27% · edge +30 pts
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
3GIL Vicente wins
4Draws
1Casa Pia wins
13 Dec 2025Casa Pia v GIL Vicente1-1
22 Feb 2025Casa Pia v GIL Vicente1-0
22 Sep 2024GIL Vicente v Casa Pia1-1
03 Mar 2024Casa Pia v GIL Vicente0-0
02 Oct 2023GIL Vicente v Casa Pia2-0
27 May 2023GIL Vicente v Casa Pia1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 27% · edge +30 pts
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
GIL Vicente5.4
Avg corners forCasa Pia4.6
GIL Vicente9.8
Avg total cornersCasa Pia12.2
GIL Vicente2.2
Avg yellow cardsCasa Pia1.6
GIL Vicente12
Avg shotsCasa Pia9.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +9.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
PabloGIL Vicente · Attacker
Goal threat87/100
Shots /901.6
SOT /901.23
Gustavo VarelaGIL Vicente · Attacker
Goal threat66/100
Shots /902.3
SOT /901.36
MuriloGIL Vicente · Attacker
Goal threat65/100
Shots /902.02
SOT /901.11
Rodrigo RodriguesGIL Vicente · Midfielder
Goal threat28/100
Shots /901.91
SOT /901.91
Max SvenssonCasa Pia · Attacker
Goal threat28/100
Shots /903.07
SOT /901.53
ClaudioCasa Pia · Attacker
Goal threat44/100
Shots /902.82
SOT /901.25
I. MohamedCasa Pia · Midfielder
Goal threat14/100
Shots /900.28
SOT /900.09
Miguel SousaCasa Pia · Midfielder
Goal threat5/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats
Primeira Liga
GIL Vicente34
PlayedCasa Pia34
GIL Vicente1.4
Avg goals forCasa Pia0.9
GIL Vicente1.1
Avg goals againstCasa Pia1.7
GIL Vicente12
Clean sheetsCasa Pia7
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 61% · edge +5.6 pts
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 50 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 30 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
