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Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest
v
Leeds crestLeeds

Premier League | Sat 22 Aug, 15:00

Nottingham Forest v Leeds Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nottingham Forest face Leeds in Premier League on Sat 22 Aug, 15:00. Despite Forest's tactical transition, the combination suggests both sides will find the net in this fixture, though a tight contest remains possible due to defensive adjustments.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 60%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/6, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 50% (-10 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Leeds to Win shows a +8.7 pts edge at 3.1.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -10 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Risk Factor: Either side failing to score, such as Forest adjusting slowly to Glasner's 3-4-3 or Leeds held goalless on the road.

Main risk

Risk Factor: Either side failing to score, such as Forest adjusting slowly to Glasner's 3-4-3 or Leeds held goalless on the road.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nottingham Forest-
Avg goals scored
Leeds-
Nottingham Forest-
Avg goals conceded
Leeds-
Nottingham Forest-
BTTS rate
Leeds-
Nottingham Forest-
Over 2.5 goals
Leeds-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 57% · edge -7.1 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 57% · edge -7.1 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Leeds to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Nottingham Forest to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Leeds Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League hubfull betting preview for Nottingham Forest v Leedsplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nottingham Forest

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Nottingham Forest yet.

Leeds

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Leeds yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 64% · edge +7.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Leeds to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Nottingham Forest to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Leeds Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Nottingham Forest wins
3Draws
3Leeds wins
06 Feb 2026Leeds v Nottingham Forest3-1
09 Nov 2025Nottingham Forest v Leeds3-1
27 Jul 2023Nottingham Forest v Leeds0-2
04 Apr 2023Leeds v Nottingham Forest2-1
05 Feb 2023Nottingham Forest v Leeds1-0
08 Feb 2020Nottingham Forest v Leeds2-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 57% · edge -7.1 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Leeds to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Nottingham Forest to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier League

Nottingham Forest0
Played
Leeds0
Nottingham Forest0
Avg goals for
Leeds0
Nottingham Forest0
Avg goals against
Leeds0
Nottingham Forest0
Clean sheets
Leeds0
Best odds for this sectionNottingham Forest Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +4.7 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Leeds to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Nottingham Forest to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Leeds Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season data supports Nottingham Forest Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
18Leeds000000
19Nottingham Forest000000
Nottingham Forest sit in position 19, while Leeds sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Nottingham Forest Over 2.5
-Leeds Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Nottingham Forest v Leeds prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Premier League hubPremier League hubfull betting preview for Nottingham Forest v Leedsplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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