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Al-Qadisiyah FC crestAl-Qadisiyah FC

Pro League | Mon 24 Aug, 17:40

NEOM v Al-Qadisiyah FC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 07:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

NEOM hosts Al-Qadisiyah FC in a Pro League clash where NEOM has shown stronger recent form and a higher league standing. NEOM has collected 6 points with a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per game, while Al-Qadisiyah FC has 3 points and concedes 1 goal per match. Both teams have a 50% rate for over 2.5 goals, indicating potential attacking opportunities. NEOM's tactical setup and home advantage position them as favorites, though Al-Qadisiyah FC's higher shot volume suggests they will press aggressively, making this an intriguing contest.

BT4Y best bet

NEOM to Win

  • NEOM holds a 61.9% to win with strong value at 4.33 .
  • NEOM has conceded just 0.5 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 20.5 shots per game, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Both teams have a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting potential for goals.
  • NEOM ranks 5th in the league, above Al-Qadisiyah FC's 8th place.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors NEOM to win with a 61.9% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, defensive strength, and league position. Despite Al-Qadisiyah FC's higher shot volume, NEOM's efficiency in defense and ability to convert chances, supported by a balanced over 2.5 goals trend, underpin this selection. The offer positive value, making NEOM a compelling choice without price caution. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance61.9%
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance23.1%
Strong positive
Recent Defensive Record0.5 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Al-Qadisiyah FC Offensive Pressure20.5 shots per game
Neutral
Over 2.5 Goals Rate50% both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

NEOM's defensive resilience and home advantage give them a tactical edge over Al-Qadisiyah FC, who rely heavily on shot volume but lack finishing efficiency. The data supports NEOM's likelihood to secure victory by controlling key moments and limiting clear chances.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and data-driven match outcome analysis

“NEOM's disciplined defensive structure combined with effective counter-attacking options makes them well-positioned to capitalize on Al-Qadisiyah FC's aggressive but less clinical approach.”

Key Data Signals

NEOM to Win evidence

NEOM holds a 61.9% to win with strong value at 4.33 .

NEOM has conceded just 0.5 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.

Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 20.5 shots per game, indicating offensive pressure.

Both teams have a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting potential for goals.

What To Watch In The Data

NEOM to Win notes

  • The last two head-to-head matches averaged 2.5 goals, aligning with both teams' 50% over 2.5 goals rate this season.
  • This trend suggests a moderate tempo with opportunities for goals from both sides, likely influenced by Al-Qadisiyah FC's offensive pressure and NEOM's counter-attacking threat.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

NEOM3
Avg corners for
Al-Qadisiyah FC12
NEOM5.5
Avg total corners
Al-Qadisiyah FC15.5
NEOM0
Avg yellow cards
Al-Qadisiyah FC1
NEOM11.5
Avg shots
Al-Qadisiyah FC20.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 56% · edge +0.2 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 12 corners and 20.5 shots per game, indicating sustained offensive pressure. NEOM's lower corner count and shots suggest a more measured approach, focusing on defensive solidity and selective attacking. Discipline is favorable for NEOM, with zero yellows on average compared to Al-Qadisiyah FC's 1.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

NEOM2
Avg goals scored
Al-Qadisiyah FC1.5
NEOM0.5
Avg goals conceded
Al-Qadisiyah FC1
NEOM50%
BTTS rate
Al-Qadisiyah FC50%
NEOM50%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Qadisiyah FC50%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 40% · edge +12.5 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have a 50% rate for over 2.5 goals, reflecting balanced attacking tendencies. NEOM's strong defensive record contrasts with Al-Qadisiyah FC's higher shot volume, suggesting goals may come from counter-attacks or set pieces rather than open play control.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickNEOM to WinBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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NEOM Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
NEOM to Win is priced attractively at 4.33 with a of 61.9%, indicating strong value. The implied chance from is only 23.1%, highlighting a significant edge. This price sensitivity suggests a positive betting opportunity without caution flags.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

NEOM

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
21 Aug 2026A Al-Faisaly FC2-0
14 Aug 2026H Al-Fayha2-1

Al-Qadisiyah FC

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
21 Aug 2026H Al-Ittihad FC0-1
13 Aug 2026A Al Shabab3-1
Market aligned with main pickNEOM to WinBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
NEOM Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
NEOM's recent form shows 6 points with a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per game, while Al-Qadisiyah FC has 3 points and concedes 1 goal per match. This form differential supports NEOM's winning chances, reflecting better match control and efficiency.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0NEOM wins
0Draws
2Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
12 Feb 2026Al-Qadisiyah FC v NEOM1-0
19 Oct 2025NEOM v Al-Qadisiyah FC1-3
Market aligned with main pickNEOM to WinBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The two previous meetings between NEOM and Al-Qadisiyah FC have averaged 2.5 goals, indicating moderately open contests. While the sample is limited, these matches provide some context for expected goal flow and competitive balance, slightly favoring NEOM's tactical discipline.
Season team stats

Pro League

NEOM2
Played
Al-Qadisiyah FC2
NEOM2
Avg goals for
Al-Qadisiyah FC1.5
NEOM0.5
Avg goals against
Al-Qadisiyah FC1
NEOM1
Clean sheets
Al-Qadisiyah FC0
Market aligned with main pickNEOM to WinBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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NEOM Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
NEOM's season stats reveal a balanced attack and strong defense, scoring 2 goals per game and conceding 0.5, underpinning their league position. Al-Qadisiyah FC's higher shots but lower goal conversion suggest inefficiency, favoring NEOM's consistent output.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5NEOM622003
8Al-Qadisiyah FC321011
NEOM sits 5th in the Pro League, ahead of Al-Qadisiyah FC in 8th place, reflecting better overall performance and points accumulation. This standing indicates NEOM's stronger consistency and potential motivation to maintain or improve their position.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%NEOM Over 2.5
50%Al-Qadisiyah FC Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The last two head-to-head matches averaged 2.5 goals, aligning with both teams' 50% over 2.5 goals rate this season. This trend suggests a moderate tempo with opportunities for goals from both sides, likely influenced by Al-Qadisiyah FC's offensive pressure and NEOM's counter-attacking threat.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.