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Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt
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NEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen

UEFA Champions League | Tue 25 Aug, 20:00

Bodo/Glimt v NEC Nijmegen Stats

Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Champions League fixture between Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen promises an open and attacking encounter. Bodo/Glimt have demonstrated potent offensive capabilities, scoring 3 goals in their recent matches with a 100% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals. NEC Nijmegen, while more conservative, still maintain a respectable 67% over 2.5 goals rate and have shown resilience in defense. Both teams' recent form and tactical approach suggest a high-tempo game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities, setting the stage for a potentially goal-rich contest under the floodlights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Bodo/Glimt have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.
  • NEC Nijmegen also show a strong 67% over 2.5 goals rate.
  • Recent head-to-head match averaged 4 goals, indicating open play.
  • Both teams average around 4-4.5 corners per game, showing attacking intent.
  • Key players like A. Sierhuis contribute significantly to shots and goal threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 58% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, slightly above the implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating a small positive . Bodo/Glimt's perfect recent record for games over 2.5 goals and NEC Nijmegen's attacking output support this expectation. The attacking roles of A. Sierhuis, with high shots on target and goal involvement, further enhance the likelihood of multiple goals. The data quality is solid with no limitations, reinforcing in this selection.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5 Rate67% recent matches
Positive
Key Player Shots On TargetA. Helmersen 3.21 SOT/90, K. Sierhuis 3.33 SOT/90
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance55.6%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both sides pushing forward, particularly Bodo/Glimt who have been prolific recently. The attacking prowess of key forwards and midfielders suggests multiple goals are likely, making Over 3.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice for this Champions League clash.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“Bodo/Glimt's relentless attacking style combined with NEC Nijmegen's willingness to engage offensively sets up a high-scoring fixture. The statistical indicators and player roles strongly favor a match with several goals scored.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Bodo/Glimt have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.

NEC Nijmegen also show a strong 67% over 2.5 goals rate.

Recent head-to-head match averaged 4 goals, indicating open play.

Both teams average around 4-4.5 corners per game, showing attacking intent.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last head-to-head meeting, the average goals scored were 4, indicating a precedent for open, goal-filled matches.
  • Recent trends over the last five matches for both teams show a high frequency of games exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by fast tempo and attacking transitions, suggesting Over 2.5 Goals is a reliable trend to consider here.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bodo/Glimt3
Avg goals scored
NEC Nijmegen1
Bodo/Glimt2
Avg goals conceded
NEC Nijmegen1.33
Bodo/Glimt100%
BTTS rate
NEC Nijmegen67%
Bodo/Glimt100%
Over 2.5 goals
NEC Nijmegen67%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have demonstrated a tendency for open games with multiple goals. Bodo/Glimt have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, while NEC Nijmegen's 67% rate and their involvement in a high-scoring head-to-head match support expectations for goals at both ends. The attacking roles and shot volumes further reinforce the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
NEC Nijmegen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The Over 3.5 Goals market shows a slight with at 58% versus an implied market chance of 55.6%. This indicates a modestly favorable price for backing a high-scoring game, supported by recent attacking trends and player shot volumes. The are fair and suggest the market acknowledges the potential for goals but may slightly underestimate the attacking threat.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bodo/Glimt4
Avg corners for
NEC Nijmegen4
Bodo/Glimt8.33
Avg total corners
NEC Nijmegen7.67
Bodo/Glimt1.67
Avg yellow cards
NEC Nijmegen1.67
Bodo/Glimt12.33
Avg shots
NEC Nijmegen17
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Average corners for both teams hover around 4 to 4.5 per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and territorial advantage. Shot data shows Bodo/Glimt average 12.33 shots with 5.33 on target, while NEC Nijmegen averages 17.5 shots with 5 on target, indicating active offensive play. Discipline is moderate with around 1.5 yellow cards per team, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bodo/Glimt

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
19 Aug 2026A NEC Nijmegen3-1
11 Aug 2026H Union St. Gilloise3-2
04 Aug 2026A Union St. Gilloise3-3

NEC Nijmegen

LWD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
19 Aug 2026H Bodo/Glimt1-3
11 Aug 2026H Olympiakos Piraeus2-1
04 Aug 2026A Olympiakos Piraeus0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 90% · edge -4.1 pts
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
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NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
NEC Nijmegen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Bodo/Glimt's recent form is marked by a perfect record of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, scoring 3 and conceding 2 goals in their last outings. NEC Nijmegen have also contributed to high-scoring games with a 67% over 2.5 goals rate and a solid defensive record conceding 1.33 goals per game. This recent form data underscores the likelihood of a match with multiple goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Bodo/Glimt wins
0Draws
0NEC Nijmegen wins
19 Aug 2026NEC Nijmegen v Bodo/Glimt1-3
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
NEC Nijmegen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The single previous meeting between Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen produced an average of 4 goals, highlighting a history of open play and goal-scoring opportunities. Although the sample size is limited, this match-up suggests both teams are capable of contributing to a high-scoring game, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Bodo/Glimt3
Played
NEC Nijmegen3
Bodo/Glimt3
Avg goals for
NEC Nijmegen1
Bodo/Glimt2
Avg goals against
NEC Nijmegen1.3
Bodo/Glimt0
Clean sheets
NEC Nijmegen1
Best odds for this sectionNEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 29% · edge +13 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
NEC Nijmegen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Season-long statistics show Bodo/Glimt as a high-scoring team with consistent offensive output, reflected in their 100% over 2.5 goals rate. NEC Nijmegen also maintain a respectable attacking profile with frequent shots and goal involvement, supporting the expectation of a game with at least four goals scored.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
67%NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
In the last head-to-head meeting, the average goals scored were 4, indicating a precedent for open, goal-filled matches. Recent trends over the last five matches for both teams show a high frequency of games exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by fast tempo and attacking transitions, suggesting Over 2.5 Goals is a reliable trend to consider here.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.