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Malmo FF crestMalmo FF
v
Djurgardens IF crestDjurgardens IF

Allsvenskan | Mon 24 Aug, 18:00

Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 07:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Malmo FF hosts Djurgardens IF in a tightly contested Allsvenskan clash where both teams share identical points and sit mid-table, intensifying the battle for a top-six spot. Malmo FF's recent matches have been high-scoring affairs, reflecting an aggressive attacking approach, while Djurgardens IF balances solid defense with a willingness to push forward. This fixture promises open play and tactical adjustments as both sides seek to capitalize on scoring opportunities in a pivotal late-season encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Malmo FF has an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • Djurgardens IF averages 1.6 goals scored per game with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.8 goals on average.
  • Both teams show contrasting BTTS rates: Malmo FF at 80% and Djurgardens IF at 20%, suggesting varied defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Average shots per game are high for both sides, with Malmo FF at 13.4 and Djurgardens IF at 13.25, supporting an attacking tempo.
  • Historical head-to-head matches average 2.1 goals, but recent form and attacking stats suggest potential for more goals this time.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 43.1% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, slightly above the implied market chance of 42%, indicating a small positive value. Malmo FF's high over 2.5 goals rate (80%) and strong attacking output combine with Djurgardens IF's offensive capabilities and solid shot volume to create conditions for a high-scoring game. The balance of Malmo FF's attacking intensity and Djurgardens IF's goal threat supports the likelihood of multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection with standard stake .

Malmo FF Over 2.5 Goals Rate80%
Strong positive
Djurgardens IF Goals For per Game1.6
Positive
Average Shots per Game (Both Teams)~13.3
Positive
Model Probability for Over 3.5 Goals43.1%
Positive
Market Implied Chance42%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open match where Malmo FF's aggressive attacking style meets Djurgardens IF's disciplined defense. The data points to a game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities, driven by Malmo FF's high shot volume and Djurgardens IF's ability to convert chances. Over 3.5 Goals is a fitting pick given the offensive tendencies and recent scoring trends of both teams.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match goal-scoring potential

“Malmo FF's relentless attacking pressure combined with Djurgardens IF's goal threat sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The balance of offensive firepower and defensive resilience suggests a lively game with several goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Malmo FF has an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Djurgardens IF averages 1.6 goals scored per game with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.8 goals on average.

Both teams show contrasting BTTS rates: Malmo FF at 80% and Djurgardens IF at 20%, suggesting varied defensive vulnerabilities.

Average shots per game are high for both sides, with Malmo FF at 13.4 and Djurgardens IF at 13.25, supporting an attacking tempo.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.1, slightly below the Over 3.5 threshold.
  • However, recent form data and attacking statistics suggest an upward trend in goal frequency, driven by Malmo FF's aggressive offense and Djurgardens IF's goal-scoring ability, indicating a faster tempo and higher scoring potential for this match.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Malmo FF4.4
Avg corners for
Djurgardens IF7.2
Malmo FF8.6
Avg total corners
Djurgardens IF10.2
Malmo FF3.2
Avg yellow cards
Djurgardens IF1.4
Malmo FF13.4
Avg shots
Djurgardens IF14
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams generate high shot volumes, with Malmo FF averaging 13.4 shots and Djurgardens IF 13.25, indicating sustained attacking pressure. Djurgardens IF leads in corners at 7.5 per game, reflecting territorial advantage or attacking width. Malmo FF's higher yellow card average (3.2) versus Djurgardens IF's 1.5 suggests a more aggressive or pressured defensive approach, potentially leading to set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Malmo FF1.4
Avg goals scored
Djurgardens IF1.6
Malmo FF1.4
Avg goals conceded
Djurgardens IF0.8
Malmo FF80%
BTTS rate
Djurgardens IF20%
Malmo FF80%
Over 2.5 goals
Djurgardens IF40%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 42% · edge +1.1 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Malmo FF's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals with an 80% rate, while Djurgardens IF has a more conservative 40% rate. BTTS rates diverge significantly, with Malmo FF at 80% and Djurgardens IF at 20%, suggesting Malmo FF often concedes but also scores. This mix supports a scenario with multiple goals but less likelihood of both teams scoring consistently.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 39% · edge +7 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Malmo FF Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Malmo FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The Over 3.5 Goals market shows a small positive value with a of 43.1% versus an implied market chance of 42%. This indicates the price is fairly balanced but slightly favorable. The of 2.38 reflect a competitive market where a slight edge exists for bettors backing a high-scoring game.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Malmo FF

WLWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
16 Aug 2026A Gais1-0
09 Aug 2026H Degerfors IF1-2
02 Aug 2026A IF Brommapojkarna2-1
26 Jul 2026H IF Elfsborg1-2
20 Jul 2026A Kalmar FF2-2

Djurgardens IF

LLWWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
16 Aug 2026H AIK Stockholm1-3
10 Aug 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-1
03 Aug 2026H Vasteras SK FK6-0
25 Jul 2026A Degerfors IF1-0
20 Jul 2026A Orgryte IS0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 67% · edge +7.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Djurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Malmo FF Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Malmo FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form shows Malmo FF averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game, with an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating open matches. Djurgardens IF scores slightly more at 1.6 goals per game but concedes less at 0.8, suggesting a more balanced approach. Both teams have earned 7 points recently, reflecting competitive momentum that could fuel an attacking contest with multiple goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Malmo FF wins
3Draws
3Djurgardens IF wins
17 Apr 2026Djurgardens IF v Malmo FF0-1
20 Sep 2025Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF0-1
29 Mar 2025Djurgardens IF v Malmo FF0-1
01 Sep 2024Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF4-0
01 May 2024Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF1-1
25 Apr 2024Djurgardens IF v Malmo FF0-1
Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 39% · edge +7 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Malmo FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.1 goals per game, which is moderate and slightly below the Over 3.5 Goals mark. While historical meetings provide context, recent attacking form and shot volumes suggest this fixture could surpass previous goal totals, making historical data a cautious but not definitive guide.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Malmo FF17
Played
Djurgardens IF16
Malmo FF1.9
Avg goals for
Djurgardens IF2.1
Malmo FF1.6
Avg goals against
Djurgardens IF1.2
Malmo FF5
Clean sheets
Djurgardens IF6
Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 39% · edge +7 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Malmo FF Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Malmo FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Season-long data reveals Malmo FF's attack and defense both average 1.4 goals per game, supporting frequent high-scoring matches. Djurgardens IF's stronger defense concedes only 0.8 goals per game but maintains a solid attack at 1.6 goals per game. These profiles suggest a clash between Malmo FF's open style and Djurgardens IF's efficient offense, favoring a game with several goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Djurgardens IF261682615
7Malmo FF26178275
Both teams sit closely in the mid-table with 26 points each, intensifying the importance of this fixture for positioning. The similar points tally and league rank imply a balanced contest where both sides will seek to assert control, likely encouraging offensive play to secure vital points and improve standings.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Malmo FF Over 2.5
40%Djurgardens IF Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.1, slightly below the Over 3.5 threshold. However, recent form data and attacking statistics suggest an upward trend in goal frequency, driven by Malmo FF's aggressive offense and Djurgardens IF's goal-scoring ability, indicating a faster tempo and higher scoring potential for this match.

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