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Juventude crestJuventude
v
CRB crestCRB

Serie B | Tue 25 Aug, 23:30

Juventude v CRB Stats

Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 07:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B clash features Juventude, currently second in the table, hosting sixth-placed CRB. Juventude have shown defensive solidity but limited attacking output recently, while CRB have been more effective on the road with a solid defensive record and sharper attack. Both sides have tactical discipline, but CRB's recent form and ability to capitalize on chances away from home set up an intriguing contest with promotion implications. The match promises a tactical battle with CRB aiming to exploit their momentum and Juventude looking to maintain their high league standing.

BT4Y best bet

CRB to Win

  • CRB holds a strong 59.1% to win, with value at 4.1 offering a 34.7% edge
  • Juventude ranks 2nd with 42 points; CRB is 6th with 36 points, reflecting competitive stakes
  • CRB averages 19 shots and 5.5 shots on target per game, indicating offensive threat
  • Juventude concedes 0.8 goals per game, CRB concedes none recently, highlighting defensive strengths
  • CRB’s recent form yields 13 points versus Juventude’s 10, supporting the away win case

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors CRB to win due to their superior recent form and offensive efficiency, averaging 19 shots and 5.5 shots on target per match compared to Juventude’s lower output. CRB's defensive record is impeccable with zero goals conceded recently, enhancing their chances on the road. The value at 4.1 is attractive given the implied chance is only 24.4%, while the model estimates a 59.1% win probability. This suggests a strong opportunity to back CRB despite Juventude’s higher league position. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent FormCRB has 13 points in recent matches vs Juventude's 10
Strong positive
Offensive OutputCRB averages 19 shots and 5.5 SOT per game
Strong positive
Defensive SolidityCRB concedes 0 goals recently, Juventude 0.8 per game
Positive
Value Edge34.7% positive edge at 4.1 odds
Strong positive
League PositionJuventude 2nd, CRB 6th
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

CRB’s recent momentum and attacking efficiency away from home make them a compelling pick to win this fixture. Their ability to generate more shots and maintain a clean defensive sheet contrasts with Juventude’s lower recent output, suggesting CRB can capitalize on chances and secure a valuable victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Away win tactical and form advantage

“CRB’s blend of offensive pressure and defensive discipline on the road positions them well to upset Juventude, whose recent attacking struggles may be exposed in this tactical encounter.”

Key Data Signals

CRB to Win evidence

CRB holds a strong 59.1% to win, with value at 4.1 offering a 34.7% edge

Juventude ranks 2nd with 42 points; CRB is 6th with 36 points, reflecting competitive stakes

CRB averages 19 shots and 5.5 shots on target per game, indicating offensive threat

Juventude concedes 0.8 goals per game, CRB concedes none recently, highlighting defensive strengths

What To Watch In The Data

CRB to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Recent trends show a tendency for controlled tempo and fewer goals, aligning with expectations of a tactical, low-to-medium scoring game rather than a high-scoring affair.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Juventude5.2
Avg corners for
CRB4.4
Juventude9.8
Avg total corners
CRB11.4
Juventude2.2
Avg yellow cards
CRB1.6
Juventude12.6
Avg shots
CRB19.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 52% · edge +13.7 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
CRB’s higher average shots (19) and shots on target (5.5) reflect sustained offensive pressure, while Juventude’s 5.2 corners per game indicate moderate attacking territory. Card averages are moderate, with Juventude averaging 2.2 yellows and CRB 1.5, suggesting a disciplined contest with limited fouling disruptions.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juventude1
Avg goals scored
CRB1.2
Juventude0.8
Avg goals conceded
CRB0
Juventude20%
BTTS rate
CRB0%
Juventude20%
Over 2.5 goals
CRB0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +10.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams to score appears unlikely given CRB’s recent clean sheets and Juventude’s low scoring rate. The data suggests a controlled goals environment with defensive discipline from both sides, favoring a BTTS No scenario in this match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
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CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
2
Check odds @ 2
The of 4.1 for a CRB win imply a 24.4% chance, significantly below the model’s 59.1% estimate. This large positive indicates the market underestimates CRB’s chances, making the bet attractive. The price is stable with no warnings, supporting a standard stake approach.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juventude

WDWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
19 Aug 2026A Goias1-0
15 Aug 2026H Fortaleza EC0-0
09 Aug 2026A Novorizontino1-0
28 Jul 2026H Avai1-0
24 Jul 2026A Botafogo SP2-4

CRB

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
20 Aug 2026A Athletic Club2-0
16 Aug 2026H Novorizontino0-0
11 Aug 2026A Avai1-0
27 Jul 2026H Vila Nova2-0
22 Jul 2026A Ceara1-0
Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
CRB’s recent form outpaces Juventude with 13 points gained versus 10, reflecting better momentum. CRB’s zero goals conceded recently contrasts with Juventude’s 0.8 goals against, highlighting defensive improvements that underpin the away win forecast.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Juventude wins
0Draws
3CRB wins
19 Apr 2026CRB v Juventude0-1
16 Sep 2023Juventude v CRB3-1
27 May 2023CRB v Juventude1-2
08 Nov 2020CRB v Juventude0-1
23 Sep 2020CRB v Juventude1-0
17 Sep 2020Juventude v CRB2-0
Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 10 previous meetings average 2 goals per game, suggesting balanced encounters. While the sample is moderate, it indicates neither side dominates historically, making current form and tactical factors more decisive for this match.
Season team stats

Serie B

Juventude23
Played
CRB23
Juventude1
Avg goals for
CRB1.5
Juventude0.5
Avg goals against
CRB1.4
Juventude17
Clean sheets
CRB7
Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
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CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over the season, CRB’s attack averages 1.2 goals per game with a perfect defensive record recently, supporting their ability to win tight matches. Juventude’s 1 goal per game and 0.8 conceded suggest a balanced but less potent profile, favoring CRB’s efficiency.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Juventude4223126512
6CRB362310672
Juventude’s 2nd place and CRB’s 6th position reflect a competitive league context with promotion stakes. CRB’s ability to challenge higher-ranked teams away from home adds pressure on Juventude to maintain form, increasing the likelihood of an upset.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Juventude Over 2.5
0%CRB Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderate scoring. Recent trends show a tendency for controlled tempo and fewer goals, aligning with expectations of a tactical, low-to-medium scoring game rather than a high-scoring affair.

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Prediction context

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