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Brondby crestBrondby
v
Silkeborg crestSilkeborg

Superliga | Mon 24 Aug, 18:00

Brondby v Silkeborg Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 07:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brondby hosts Silkeborg in a Superliga clash where Brondby leads the table with 10 points, showing solid defensive form by conceding just 0.75 goals per game. Silkeborg, sitting seventh with 4 points, has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.75 goals per match. Both teams have a low rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals at 25%, suggesting a tactical battle with limited scoring opportunities. Brondby's stronger recent form and defensive discipline set the stage for a controlled, low-scoring encounter under typical Superliga conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Brondby concedes only 0.75 goals per game, indicating strong defensive control
  • Both teams have just a 25% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season
  • Brondby averages 16 shots per game but only 3.5 on target, showing measured attacking
  • Silkeborg’s offense is limited with 0.75 goals per game and 10.75 shots overall
  • Head-to-head average goals are 3.5 but recent form favors fewer goals scored

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 63.4% chance for Under 2.5 Goals, reflecting both teams' cautious attacking profiles and solid defensive records. Brondby’s defensive resilience and Silkeborg’s limited offensive threat combine to reduce goal-scoring likelihood. The at 2.5 offer positive value given the implied 40% chance, supported by low over 2.5 rates and recent form data. No data limitations affect , making this a well-supported low-scoring bet with standard staking recommended.

Model Probability63.4% chance of Under 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance40% chance from odds
Positive
Recent FormBoth teams show low scoring and low over 2.5 rates
Strong positive
Defensive StrengthBrondby concedes only 0.75 goals per game
Strong positive
Offensive OutputSilkeborg averages 0.75 goals per game, limiting scoring
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a tactically disciplined match with Brondby’s defensive solidity limiting Silkeborg’s chances. The low scoring output from both sides and their cautious approach suggest Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible selection. Brondby’s home form and Silkeborg’s offensive struggles reinforce the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring game.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and cautious attacking

“Brondby’s defensive organization and Silkeborg’s limited attacking threat make a low-scoring match the most probable outcome, with both teams unlikely to open up aggressively.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Brondby concedes only 0.75 goals per game, indicating strong defensive control

Brondby averages 16 shots per game but only 3.5 on target, showing measured attacking

Silkeborg’s offense is limited with 0.75 goals per game and 10.75 shots overall

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.5, but recent trends show fewer goals scored per game.
  • Both teams’ low over 2.5 goals rates this season and tactical caution suggest a slower tempo and fewer goal-scoring opportunities, supporting a low-scoring game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Brondby1.75
Avg goals scored
Silkeborg0.75
Brondby0.75
Avg goals conceded
Silkeborg1.25
Brondby50%
BTTS rate
Silkeborg50%
Brondby25%
Over 2.5 goals
Silkeborg25%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate but low scoring averages and a 25% over 2.5 goals rate suggest goals will be limited and controlled. The match is likely to feature few clear chances and disciplined defensive setups, supporting a low-scoring outcome.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Brondby

WWWD
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
17 Aug 2026H Sonderjyske3-2
09 Aug 2026A AC Horsens2-0
02 Aug 2026H Viborg1-0
25 Jul 2026A Aarhus1-1

Silkeborg

LWLD
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
16 Aug 2026A FC Nordsjaelland0-1
10 Aug 2026H Odense1-0
02 Aug 2026H FC Copenhagen1-3
27 Jul 2026A Randers FC1-1
Best odds for this sectionBrondby to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Silkeborg Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Brondby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Silkeborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Brondby’s recent form shows 10 points with only 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game, reflecting defensive stability. Silkeborg’s 4 points and 0.75 goals scored with 1.25 conceded indicate limited offensive threat. Both teams have a 25% over 2.5 goals rate, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring contest.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Brondby1043104
8Silkeborg44112-2
Brondby leads the Superliga with 10 points, emphasizing their defensive consistency and form advantage. Silkeborg’s seventh place with 4 points reflects offensive struggles. The standings highlight Brondby’s motivation to maintain control and Silkeborg’s challenge to break down solid defenses, suggesting a cautious match with fewer goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Brondby to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Silkeborg Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Brondby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Silkeborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.5 with a of 63.4%, indicating clear value. The implied 40% chance from is well below the model’s probability, making this a positive value bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Brondby7.5
Avg corners for
Silkeborg4.67
Brondby11.75
Avg total corners
Silkeborg9.67
Brondby2.75
Avg yellow cards
Silkeborg1.67
Brondby16
Avg shots
Silkeborg10.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Brondby averages 7.5 corners and 16 shots per game, showing territorial control but measured finishing. Silkeborg’s 5.25 corners and 10.75 shots indicate fewer attacking incursions. Discipline is moderate with Brondby averaging 2.75 yellows and Silkeborg 1.25, suggesting a controlled game with limited fouling.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Brondby wins
4Draws
1Silkeborg wins
06 Mar 2026Brondby v Silkeborg2-0
02 Nov 2025Silkeborg v Brondby0-2
20 Jul 2025Brondby v Silkeborg3-0
07 May 2025Silkeborg v Brondby2-1
30 Apr 2025Brondby v Silkeborg3-3
16 Mar 2025Brondby v Silkeborg2-2
Best odds for this sectionBrondby to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Silkeborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The 10 previous meetings average 3.5 goals per game, indicating some historical openness. However, recent matches have seen tighter scorelines, and current form data suggests a more defensive approach. The head-to-head record offers background but recent tactical shifts and defensive improvements weigh more heavily for this fixture.
Season team stats

Superliga

Brondby4
Played
Silkeborg4
Brondby1.8
Avg goals for
Silkeborg0.8
Brondby0.8
Avg goals against
Silkeborg1.3
Brondby2
Clean sheets
Silkeborg1
Best odds for this sectionBrondby to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Silkeborg Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Brondby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Silkeborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Season stats reveal Brondby’s strong defense conceding less than one goal per game and Silkeborg’s modest attack averaging under one goal. Both teams’ low over 2.5 goals rates confirm a pattern of controlled matches with limited scoring, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Brondby Over 2.5
25%Silkeborg Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.5, but recent trends show fewer goals scored per game. Both teams’ low over 2.5 goals rates this season and tactical caution suggest a slower tempo and fewer goal-scoring opportunities, supporting a low-scoring game.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.