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Malaga crestMalaga
v
Deportivo La Coruna crestDeportivo La Coruna

La Liga | Mon 24 Aug, 20:30

Malaga v Deportivo La Coruna Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 00:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Malaga face Deportivo La Coruna in La Liga on Mon 24 Aug, 20:30. Malaga have lost only one home match in all competitions during 2026, giving their first La Liga fixture at La Rosaleda in eight years a strong recent foundation. Malaga's home form and Deportivo's away resilience suggest a competitive match.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 10/11, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Yet Malaga's more recent matches offer a slight contradiction, with both teams scoring in six of their last seven outings.
  • Malaga show a 0% BTTS rate and Deportivo La Coruna show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Malaga average 0 goals scored and Deportivo La Coruna average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Malaga show a 0% BTTS rate and Deportivo La Coruna show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Yet Malaga's more recent matches offer a slight contradiction, with both teams scoring in six of their last seven outings.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Positive
Malaga show a 0% BTTS rate and Deportivo La Coruna.Visible data support
Positive
Malaga average 0 goals scored and Deportivo La Coruna average.Visible data support
Positive
Yet Malaga's more recent matches offer a slight contradiction.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because yet Malaga's more recent matches offer a slight contradiction, with both teams scoring in six of their last seven outings. Malaga show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Deportivo La Coruna show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. However, Malaga face defensive selection issues, with Adrian Nino, Diego Murillo, Juanpe, Fernando Calero, and Moussa Diarra all sidelined through injury.

Main risk

However, Malaga face defensive selection issues, with Adrian Nino, Diego Murillo, Juanpe, Fernando Calero, and Moussa Diarra all sidelined through injury.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Yet Malaga's more recent matches offer a slight contradiction, with both teams scoring in six of their last.

Malaga show a 0% BTTS rate and Deportivo La Coruna show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Malaga average 0 goals scored and Deportivo La Coruna average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Malaga0
Avg goals scored
Deportivo La Coruna1
Malaga2
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo La Coruna1
Malaga0%
BTTS rate
Deportivo La Coruna100%
Malaga0%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo La Coruna0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Deportivo La Coruna to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Malaga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Malaga to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3
Check odds @ 3
Deportivo La Coruna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Malaga

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
19 Aug 2026A Atletico Madrid0-2

Deportivo La Coruna

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
17 Aug 2026H Elche1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 64% · edge -1 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Deportivo La Coruna to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Malaga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Malaga to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3
Check odds @ 3
Deportivo La Coruna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Malaga Over 2.5
0%Deportivo La Coruna Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Malaga sit at 0% and Deportivo La Coruna sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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