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Al Taawon crestAl Taawon
v
Al-Fayha crestAl-Fayha

Pro League | Tue 25 Aug, 17:10

Al Taawon v Al-Fayha Stats

Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 07:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al Taawon and Al-Fayha meet in a Pro League clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities early in the season. Al Taawon has scored once and conceded 1.5 goals per game, while Al-Fayha averages 0.5 goals scored but concedes 2.5 per match, indicating an open game likely to produce multiple goals. Both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets, and Al-Fayha's 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals suggests a high-scoring encounter. The fixture offers an intriguing tactical battle with offensive players eager to capitalize on defensive lapses.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Al-Fayha has seen 100% of their recent matches go over 2.5 goals.
  • Al Taawon concedes 1.5 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate, showing balanced attacking and defensive performances.
  • Al Taawon averages 12.5 shots per match, with 3 on target, highlighting offensive activity.
  • Al-Fayha’s attackers, including Jason and Ganvoula, generate high shot volumes, increasing goal chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at 67.7%, well above the implied market chance of 54.1%, reflecting strong value. Both teams have shown attacking willingness but defensive weaknesses, with Al-Fayha conceding 2.5 goals per game and Al Taawon 1.5. Al-Fayha’s perfect recent record for Over 2.5 matches and the combined shot volumes from key attackers like A. Hamed Allah and Jason support a high-scoring game. The data quality is solid, with no limitations, reinforcing in this selection.

Model Chance67.7%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance54.1%
Positive
Al-Fayha Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Defensive Conceding RatesAl-Fayha 2.5, Al Taawon 1.5 goals per game
Strong positive
Shot VolumesAl Taawon 12.5 avg shots, Al-Fayha 10.5 avg shots
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both sides pushing forward due to defensive vulnerabilities. Al-Fayha’s high concession rate combined with Al Taawon’s attacking activity suggests multiple goals. The Over 2.5 Goals bet aligns well with the tactical openness and recent scoring trends of both teams.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive weaknesses

“Al-Fayha’s defensive struggles paired with Al Taawon’s offensive intent create a fertile ground for goals. The attacking players on both sides are active, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Al-Fayha has seen 100% of their recent matches go over 2.5 goals.

Al Taawon concedes 1.5 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate, showing balanced attacking and defensive performances.

Al Taawon averages 12.5 shots per match, with 3 on target, highlighting offensive activity.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, indicating moderately high scoring encounters.
  • Al-Fayha’s recent 100% Over 2.5 rate and Al Taawon’s 50% rate over recent matches suggest a trend towards open games with multiple goals.
  • The tempo and attacking intent from both sides support the expectation of a lively, goal-filled match.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Al Taawon5
Avg corners for
Al-Fayha2.5
Al Taawon8.5
Avg total corners
Al-Fayha6.5
Al Taawon0.5
Avg yellow cards
Al-Fayha1
Al Taawon12.5
Avg shots
Al-Fayha10.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 33%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Al Taawon averages 5 corners per match compared to Al-Fayha’s 2.5, suggesting more sustained pressure and attacking territory for the home side. Shot volumes are healthy on both sides, with Al Taawon averaging 12.5 shots and Al-Fayha 10.5, including quality shots on target. Discipline is moderate, with Al-Fayha showing a slightly higher yellow card rate, which could influence game flow and set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al Taawon1
Avg goals scored
Al-Fayha0.5
Al Taawon1.5
Avg goals conceded
Al-Fayha2.5
Al Taawon50%
BTTS rate
Al-Fayha50%
Al Taawon50%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Fayha100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 54% · edge +13.6 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate, indicating balanced attacking and defensive performances that often result in goals at both ends. Al-Fayha’s recent matches have all exceeded 2.5 goals, reinforcing the expectation of multiple scoring events. The average of 2.3 goals in their last 10 head-to-head meetings also supports a goal-rich encounter.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 54% · edge +13.6 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Al-Fayha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Al Taawon Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Al Taawon to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Al-Fayha to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The Over 2.5 Goals market offers positive value with a of 67.7% versus an implied market chance of 54.1%. This gap indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, supported by both teams’ defensive records and attacking metrics. The current of 1.85 reflect this value, making the bet attractive without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al Taawon

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
22 Aug 2026A Al Kholood2-3
15 Aug 2026H Al Khaleej Saihat0-0

Al-Fayha

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
20 Aug 2026H Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-3
14 Aug 2026A NEOM1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 83% · edge -1.3 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Al-Fayha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Al Taawon Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Al Taawon to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Al-Fayha to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows Al-Fayha with a perfect 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Al Taawon stands at 50%. Both teams have conceded multiple goals in recent matches, with Al-Fayha allowing 2.5 goals per game and Al Taawon 1.5. These trends indicate a propensity for open, high-scoring games, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Al Taawon wins
5Draws
1Al-Fayha wins
20 Feb 2026Al Taawon v Al-Fayha2-3
23 Oct 2025Al-Fayha v Al Taawon1-2
31 Jan 2025Al-Fayha v Al Taawon0-0
22 Aug 2024Al Taawon v Al-Fayha1-0
23 May 2024Al-Fayha v Al Taawon1-1
08 Dec 2023Al Taawon v Al-Fayha4-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 54% · edge +13.6 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Al Taawon to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Al-Fayha to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The last 10 meetings between Al Taawon and Al-Fayha have averaged 2.3 goals per game, reflecting a tendency for moderately high-scoring contests. While not overwhelmingly high, this average supports the possibility of Over 2.5 Goals, especially when combined with current defensive vulnerabilities and attacking form of both teams.
Season team stats

Pro League

Al Taawon2
Played
Al-Fayha2
Al Taawon1
Avg goals for
Al-Fayha0.5
Al Taawon1.5
Avg goals against
Al-Fayha2.5
Al Taawon1
Clean sheets
Al-Fayha0
Best odds for this sectionAl-Fayha Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 36% · edge +5.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Al Taawon Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Al Taawon to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Al-Fayha to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
Season-long statistics reveal Al-Fayha concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game, the highest among the two, while Al Taawon concedes 1.5. Both teams maintain moderate attacking outputs, with Al Taawon averaging 1 goal per game and Al-Fayha 0.5. The defensive frailties combined with consistent attacking efforts underpin the likelihood of a match exceeding 2.5 goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Al Taawon12011-1
15Al-Fayha02002-4
Al Taawon sits 12th and Al-Fayha 15th in the Pro League standings, both near the lower end, which may increase urgency to attack and secure points. This pressure can lead to more open play and defensive risks, contributing to a higher goal count. The standings context suggests both teams need results, encouraging offensive approaches.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Al Taawon Over 2.5
100%Al-Fayha Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, indicating moderately high scoring encounters. Al-Fayha’s recent 100% Over 2.5 rate and Al Taawon’s 50% rate over recent matches suggest a trend towards open games with multiple goals. The tempo and attacking intent from both sides support the expectation of a lively, goal-filled match.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.