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Ipswich crestIpswich
v
Leicester crestLeicester

League Cup | Tue 25 Aug, 19:45

Ipswich v Leicester Stats

Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ipswich enter this League Cup tie with strong momentum, having lost just once in their last 16 matches and opening their Premier League season with a 2-1 victory over Sunderland. Their recent run includes high-scoring games and a solid home defensive record from last season. Leicester arrive unbeaten in six consecutive away matches, boasting a potent attack that scored 58 league goals last season despite their overall struggles. Midfield fitness doubts for Ipswich and Leicester's consistent scoring suggest an open contest where both sides are likely to find the net, setting up a competitive cup fixture at Portman Road.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Ipswich to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 33%, above the 9% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Ipswich have lost only one of their last 16 matches, showing strong form.
  • Leicester are unbeaten in six consecutive away games and have scored in all competitive matches this season.
  • Ipswich’s home defence conceded just 17 league goals last season, the best in their division.
  • Five of Ipswich’s last six matches have featured three or more goals, indicating attacking momentum.
Price warning

Ipswich to Win & Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 33% while the model sits nearer 9% (-24.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +15 pts edge at 2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model recognizes Ipswich's strong recent form and Leicester's consistent away scoring as key factors supporting Ipswich to win with both teams scoring. However, the current are short compared to the model's 8.5% chance, indicating a negative . This selection is football-led rather than a pure value bet, and staking should be reduced or delayed until price or team news improve. The thinner data sample for Ipswich means line-ups and late information will be important for final .

Ipswich recent formOnly 1 defeat in last 16 matches
Strong positive
Leicester away scoringUnbeaten 6 away games, scoring in all
Positive
Price vs model chanceImplied chance 33.3% vs model 8.5%
Negative
Data qualityLimited Ipswich data, more uncertainty
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Ipswich’s sustained momentum and home defensive solidity underpin in a home win, while Leicester’s reliable away scoring suggests both teams will find the net. This combination makes Ipswich to win and both teams to score a tactically and statistically coherent pick for this cup tie.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome and goals

“Ipswich’s recent form and Leicester’s away resilience create a compelling scenario for a competitive match with goals at both ends, making the combined bet a sensible football choice despite price caution.”

Key Data Signals

Ipswich to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Ipswich have lost only one of their last 16 matches, showing strong form.

Leicester are unbeaten in six consecutive away games and have scored in all competitive matches this season.

Ipswich’s home defence conceded just 17 league goals last season, the best in their division.

Five of Ipswich’s last six matches have featured three or more goals, indicating attacking momentum.

What To Watch In The Data

Ipswich to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings between Ipswich and Leicester, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Recent matches have featured goals from both sides, supporting the likelihood of an open game with multiple goals, consistent with the over 2.5 goals trend panel.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ipswich-
Avg goals scored
Leicester1
Ipswich-
Avg goals conceded
Leicester0
Ipswich-
BTTS rate
Leicester0%
Ipswich-
Over 2.5 goals
Leicester0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Both teams have demonstrated scoring ability recently: Ipswich have featured in high-scoring matches with five of their last six games having three or more goals, while Leicester have scored in all competitive fixtures this season. This supports the likelihood of both teams scoring in this cup tie, aligning with the combined win and BTTS selection.
Season team stats

League Cup

Ipswich0
Played
Leicester1
Ipswich0
Avg goals for
Leicester1
Ipswich0
Avg goals against
Leicester0
Ipswich0
Clean sheets
Leicester1
Market aligned with main pickIpswich Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 79% · edge -33.7 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
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Ipswich to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Ipswich’s defensive record at home last season was outstanding, conceding just 17 league goals, the best in their division. Their recent matches have been high scoring, reflecting attacking . Leicester’s season stats show a high goal tally despite overall struggles, highlighting their offensive capability. These season-long trends support a scenario where Ipswich can win but both teams score.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ipswich

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Ipswich yet.

Leicester

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
08 Aug 2026H Northampton1-0
Market aligned with main pickIpswich Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 79% · edge -33.7 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Ipswich to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Ipswich’s recent form is impressive, with only one loss in 16 matches and a strong start to the Premier League season. Leicester’s form is less consistent overall but their unbeaten away run and scoring in all recent matches provide a counterbalance. This contrast in form and momentum frames the match as competitive, with Ipswich favored but Leicester capable of scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickIpswich Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 79% · edge -33.7 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Ipswich to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The current of 3.0 for Ipswich to win and both teams to score imply a 33.3% chance, which is significantly higher than the model’s 8.5% probability. This discrepancy signals a short price, making the bet price-sensitive and warranting reduced stakes or waiting for drift. the football read remains strong due to Ipswich’s form and Leicester’s scoring, but value is limited at this price.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Ipswich-
Avg corners for
Leicester7
Ipswich-
Avg total corners
Leicester12
Ipswich-
Avg yellow cards
Leicester4
Ipswich-
Avg shots
Leicester8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Leicester average 7 corners and 8 shots per game with 3 on target, indicating active attacking play and sustained pressure. Ipswich’s attacking players also contribute significant shot volume. Leicester’s fouling rate and card risk, especially from players like B. De Cordova-Reid, suggest a competitive and physical match with set-piece opportunities influencing corners and cards.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Ipswich wins
4Draws
5Leicester wins
07 Mar 2026Ipswich v Leicester1-1
13 Dec 2025Leicester v Ipswich3-1
18 May 2025Leicester v Ipswich2-0
02 Nov 2024Ipswich v Leicester1-1
22 Jan 2024Leicester v Ipswich1-1
26 Dec 2023Ipswich v Leicester1-1
Market aligned with main pickIpswich to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 67% · edge -39.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The head-to-head record shows Leicester unbeaten in their last eight meetings with Ipswich, including a 3-1 win and 1-1 draw last season. While this suggests Leicester’s resilience, Ipswich’s current form and home advantage provide a counterpoint. The H2H data adds context but does not strongly favor either side, making recent form and tactical factors more decisive.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Ipswich Over 2.5
0%Leicester Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings between Ipswich and Leicester, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Recent matches have featured goals from both sides, supporting the likelihood of an open game with multiple goals, consistent with the over 2.5 goals trend panel.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Ipswich v Leicester prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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