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USA crestUSA
v
Germany crestGermany

Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 19:30

USA v Germany Stats

Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 18:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

USA face Germany in Friendlies on Sat 06 Jun, 19:30. USA come in with 3 recent points and 1.67 goals per match, while Germany have 9 points and 3.33 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.95, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 69%.
  • Germany lead the corner sample at 9.67 per match, with USA lower at 3.33.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: USA average 10.67 and Germany average 22.33.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Germany lead the corner sample at 9.67 per match, with USA lower at 3.33.

Model chance vs price69% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
Germany lead the corner sample at 9.67 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Germany lead the corner sample at 9.67 per match, with USA lower at 3.33. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Germany lead the corner sample at 9.67 per match, with USA lower at 3.33.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: USA average 10.67 and Germany average 22.33.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

USA3.33
Avg corners for
Germany9.67
USA8.67
Avg total corners
Germany12
USA1
Avg yellow cards
Germany0.33
USA10.67
Avg shots
Germany22.33
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 51% · edge +17.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

USA1.67
Avg goals scored
Germany3.33
USA3
Avg goals conceded
Germany1.33
USA67%
BTTS rate
Germany67%
USA67%
Over 2.5 goals
Germany100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Germany to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Germany Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
USA to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

USA

WLL
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
31 May 2026H Senegal3-2
01 Apr 2026H Portugal0-2
28 Mar 2026H Belgium2-5

Germany

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
31 May 2026H Finland4-0
30 Mar 2026H Ghana2-1
27 Mar 2026A Switzerland4-3
Best odds for this sectionGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Germany Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.16
Check odds @ 2.16
USA to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0USA wins
0Draws
2Germany wins
14 Oct 2023USA v Germany1-3
26 Jun 2014USA v Germany0-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Germany to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
USA to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Friendlies

USA4
Played
Germany4
USA1.5
Avg goals for
Germany3
USA2.8
Avg goals against
Germany1.3
USA0
Clean sheets
Germany1
Best odds for this sectionGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Germany Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
USA to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Season data supports Germany to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%USA Over 2.5
100%Germany Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: USA sit at 67% and Germany sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

USA v Germany prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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