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Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 19:30

USA v Germany Stats

Data last updated: Fri 05 Jun 2026, 05:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly between USA and Germany promises an open and attacking encounter as both sides look to sharpen their offensive play ahead of competitive fixtures. Germany enters with a strong recent scoring record, averaging over three goals per game, while USA also shows a willingness to push forward despite conceding frequently. Both teams have attacking talents eager to impress, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring game with tactical openness and less defensive rigidity typical of friendlies.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Germany averages 3.33 goals per game with a 100% Over 2.5 rate recently.
  • USA has a 67% Over 2.5 rate and scores 1.67 goals per game despite defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams have a 67% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals at both ends.
  • Germany averages 22.33 shots and 9.67 corners per game, showing strong attacking pressure.
  • Key attackers like F. Agyemang have high shot volumes and goal threat metrics.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 74.9% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by Germany's prolific scoring and USA's openness in defense. Germany's perfect recent Over 2.5 record and USA's attacking intent create a strong likelihood of multiple goals. The high shot volumes and goal threat from key players like Wirtz and Agyemang reinforce the expectation of an open, goal-rich match. No price warnings apply, making this a solid football-based selection with good .

Germany's Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
USA's Goals Conceded3 per game
Positive
Key Player Goal ThreatHigh shots and goals from Wirtz and Agyemang
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams67% each
Positive
Model Confidence74.9% chance
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively friendly with both teams pushing forward and creating chances. Germany's attacking efficiency combined with USA's defensive openness suggests Over 2.5 Goals is a sensible call. The data shows both sides have the firepower and tendency for high-scoring games, making this bet tactically and statistically sound.

Main risk

The main risk is that friendly match intensity and defensive rotations could reduce scoring tempo, leading to fewer goals than expected.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics and goal potential

“Germany's attacking prowess and USA's willingness to attack set the stage for a goal-filled friendly. The statistical indicators strongly favor Over 2.5 Goals as both teams look to exploit defensive gaps and showcase offensive talents.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Germany averages 3.33 goals per game with a 100% Over 2.5 rate recently.

USA has a 67% Over 2.5 rate and scores 1.67 goals per game despite defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have a 67% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals at both ends.

Germany averages 22.33 shots and 9.67 corners per game, showing strong attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last two meetings, an average of 2.5 goals per game was recorded, consistent with the Over 2.5 trend.
  • Recent matches for both teams show a tendency toward open, attacking play with frequent goal-scoring opportunities, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

USA3.33
Avg corners for
Germany9.67
USA8.67
Avg total corners
Germany12
USA1
Avg yellow cards
Germany0.33
USA10.67
Avg shots
Germany22.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 51% · edge +17.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Germany's control in shots (22.33) and corners (9.67) indicates sustained attacking pressure, while USA's moderate numbers reflect counter-attacking chances. Low card averages suggest a game focused on open play and attacking rhythm rather than defensive fouling.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

USA1.67
Avg goals scored
Germany3.33
USA3
Avg goals conceded
Germany1.33
USA67%
BTTS rate
Germany67%
USA67%
Over 2.5 goals
Germany100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 68% · edge +7.3 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have high BTTS rates at 67%, and Germany's perfect Over 2.5 record signals frequent multiple-goal games. USA's 1.67 goals per game and defensive concessions support a scenario where goals flow at both ends, favoring Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS outcomes.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 68% · edge +7.3 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Germany to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Germany Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
USA to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
The Over 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the model's 74.9% probability, reflecting strong scoring trends from both teams. Without visible , this selection is a football-driven choice rather than a value play, supported by recent goal outputs and attacking metrics.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

USA

WLL
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
31 May 2026H Senegal3-2
01 Apr 2026H Portugal0-2
28 Mar 2026H Belgium2-5

Germany

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
31 May 2026H Finland4-0
30 Mar 2026H Ghana2-1
27 Mar 2026A Switzerland4-3
Best odds for this sectionGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Germany Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
USA to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Recent form data shows Germany scoring over 3 goals per game with a 100% Over 2.5 rate, while USA maintains a 67% Over 2.5 rate despite conceding 3 goals on average. This trend reflects both teams' offensive focus and defensive vulnerabilities, supporting expectations of a high-scoring friendly.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0USA wins
0Draws
2Germany wins
14 Oct 2023USA v Germany1-3
26 Jun 2014USA v Germany0-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 68% · edge +7.3 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Germany to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
USA to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
The head-to-head sample is limited to two matches with an average of 2.5 goals, indicating moderately open encounters. While not extensive, this history aligns with current form and attacking profiles, offering some background support for expecting a goal-rich game.
Season team stats

Friendlies

USA3
Played
Germany3
USA1.7
Avg goals for
Germany3.3
USA3
Avg goals against
Germany1.3
USA0
Clean sheets
Germany1
Best odds for this sectionGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Germany Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
USA to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Season-long stats reveal Germany's potent attack and relatively solid defense, contributing to frequent high-scoring matches. USA's season data shows a more open defensive approach, allowing more goals but also generating attacking opportunities, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals outlook.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%USA Over 2.5
100%Germany Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the last two meetings, an average of 2.5 goals per game was recorded, consistent with the Over 2.5 trend. Recent matches for both teams show a tendency toward open, attacking play with frequent goal-scoring opportunities, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.