Football Stats Hub

Tavernes crestTavernes
v
Valencia crestValencia

Copa del Rey | Tue 10 Nov, 20:00

Tavernes v Valencia Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 07:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Copa del Rey fixture features Tavernes hosting Valencia in a match that pits a lower-tier side against a more established opponent. Tavernes have shown resilience recently, earning points and maintaining a solid defensive record with an average of just 0.5 goals conceded per game. Valencia's data is limited, but their offensive threat is led by U. Sadiq, a forward with notable goal-scoring and shot accuracy stats. The tactical battle will likely see Tavernes aiming to capitalize on home advantage and defensive solidity to overcome Valencia's attacking prowess in a knockout setting.

BT4Y best bet

Tavernes to Win

  • Tavernes have earned 2 points recently with a strong defensive showing, conceding only 0.5 goals per game.
  • Valencia's attacking threat centers on U. Sadiq, who averages 2.2 shots on target per 90 minutes and 0.73 goals per 90.
  • No previous head-to-head data exists, increasing unpredictability but emphasizing current form and home advantage.
  • Tavernes' recent form and defensive discipline contrast with Valencia's thinner data sample, favoring the home side's stability.
  • The model assigns Tavernes a 52.7% chance to win, indicating a solid probability despite the low offered.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Tavernes to win due to their recent defensive solidity and ability to earn points, combined with Valencia's limited data and uncertain attacking output. Tavernes' home advantage and consistent form provide a foundation for an upset in this knockout tie. The model's is high, reflecting Tavernes' edge in control and defensive organization, although Valencia's attacking players like U. Sadiq pose a threat that must be respected.

Tavernes recent defensive formConceding only 0.5 goals per game
Strong positive
Valencia attacking threatU. Sadiq with 2 goals and 2.2 shots on target per 90
Positive
Data qualityLimited data for Valencia increases uncertainty
Neutral
Home advantageTavernes playing at home in Copa del Rey
Positive
Model confidence88% confidence in Tavernes win
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Tavernes' recent defensive resilience and home advantage make them a credible winner against Valencia, whose attacking threat is led by U. Sadiq but lacks consistent data backing. The home side's form and tactical discipline provide a strong foundation for victory in this knockout match.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form-based assessment favoring Tavernes

“Tavernes' defensive organization and home conditions create a solid platform to challenge Valencia, whose offensive firepower is notable but less proven in this context. This matchup favors the disciplined home side in a tight contest.”

Key Data Signals

Tavernes to Win evidence

Tavernes have earned 2 points recently with a strong defensive showing, conceding only 0.5 goals per game.

Valencia's attacking threat centers on U. Sadiq, who averages 2.2 shots on target per 90 minutes and 0.73 goals per 90.

No previous head-to-head data exists, increasing unpredictability but emphasizing current form and home advantage.

Tavernes' recent form and defensive discipline contrast with Valencia's thinner data sample, favoring the home side's stability.

What To Watch In The Data

Tavernes to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Tavernes have maintained a low over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a tendency toward tighter games.
  • The absence of head-to-head history and Valencia's limited data suggest this fixture may follow a cautious tempo with controlled attacking phases, supporting a lower-scoring contest.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tavernes

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
04 Oct 2026H Maracena0-0
27 Sep 2026A Maracena1-1

Valencia

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Valencia yet.

Market aligned with main pickTavernes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 7% vs implied 2% · edge +4.5 pts
51
Check odds @ 51
Tavernes have shown steady form recently, securing 2 points with a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per game. This defensive solidity contrasts with Valencia's limited recent data, suggesting Tavernes' momentum and home advantage could be decisive in this knockout fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tavernes0.5
Avg goals scored
Valencia-
Tavernes0.5
Avg goals conceded
Valencia-
Tavernes50%
BTTS rate
Valencia-
Tavernes0%
Over 2.5 goals
Valencia-
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Goal and BTTS trends are limited by Valencia's sparse data, but Tavernes have a low over 2.5 goals rate and a 50% BTTS rate, suggesting a cautious game with potential for a tight scoreline. Valencia's attacking threat via U. Sadiq could open the game, but defensive discipline may keep goals under control.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTavernes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 7% vs implied 2% · edge +4.5 pts
51
Check odds @ 51
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
The 6.5% for Tavernes to Win sits against roughly 2% implied by the current price (+4.5 pts). Tavernes have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points from the sample compared with 0 for Valencia.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Tavernes Over 2.5
-Valencia Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Tavernes have maintained a low over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a tendency toward tighter games. The absence of head-to-head history and Valencia's limited data suggest this fixture may follow a cautious tempo with controlled attacking phases, supporting a lower-scoring contest.

Loading deeper match data…