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Sabadell crestSabadell
v
Real Sociedad II crestReal Sociedad II

Segunda División | Mon 09 Nov, 19:30

Sabadell v Real Sociedad II Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 03:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sabadell and Real Sociedad II meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams have shown tendencies to find the net but also concede regularly. Sabadell sits mid-table with a more balanced defensive record, while Real Sociedad II struggles near the relegation zone, conceding more frequently. Both sides have attacking players capable of creating chances, suggesting an open game with goal opportunities at both ends. Recent form data highlights a moderate scoring rate for both teams, setting the stage for a contest where both could score.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Sabadell Asian Handicap -0.75

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 77%, above the 53% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of scoring and conceding in recent matches.
  • Sabadell averages 15.2 shots per game with 3.4 on target, Real Sociedad II averages 17.4 shots with 5.6 on target.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.25 over four meetings, indicating goal involvement from both sides.
  • Key attackers like N. Gioacchini (Sabadell) and Lander Astiazarán (Real Sociedad II) contribute consistent goal threats.
Price warning

Sabadell Asian Handicap -0.75 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 77% while the model sits nearer 53% (-24 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.91.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, supported by balanced attacking and defensive stats from Sabadell and Real Sociedad II. Both teams average multiple shots on target per game, with key attackers like N. Gioacchini and Lander Astiazarán posing consistent threats. The head-to-head average of 2.25 goals across recent meetings and similar BTTS rates of 60% for both sides reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. This combination of attacking pressure and defensive vulnerabilities underpins the strong BTTS case.

Model Chance52.9% model chance vs 76.9% implied (-24 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Sabadell60%
Positive
BTTS Rate Real Sociedad II60%
Positive
Average Shots on TargetSabadell 3.4, Real Sociedad II 5.6
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Avg Goals2.25
Positive
Main risk

However, Sabadell's recent results suggest there is room for improvement.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“The attacking profiles of Sabadell and Real Sociedad II, combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, create a strong scenario for goals at both ends. Key players like Gioacchini and Astiazarán are pivotal in breaking down defenses, making BTTS a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Sabadell Asian Handicap -0.75 evidence

Both teams have a 60% rate of scoring and conceding in recent matches.

Sabadell averages 15.2 shots per game with 3.4 on target, Real Sociedad II averages 17.4 shots with 5.6 on target.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.25 over four meetings, indicating goal involvement from both sides.

Key attackers like N. Gioacchini (Sabadell) and Lander Astiazarán (Real Sociedad II) contribute consistent goal threats.

What To Watch In The Data

Sabadell Asian Handicap -0.75 notes

  • Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.25, indicating a moderate scoring tempo.
  • Both teams have shown tendencies to participate in matches with over 2.5 goals, especially Real Sociedad II with a 60% rate, suggesting an open game with goal-scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sabadell0.8
Avg goals scored
Real Sociedad II1.2
Sabadell1
Avg goals conceded
Real Sociedad II2.4
Sabadell60%
BTTS rate
Real Sociedad II60%
Sabadell40%
Over 2.5 goals
Real Sociedad II60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams maintain a 60% BTTS rate recently, supported by Sabadell's 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, and Real Sociedad II's 1.2 scored versus 2.4 conceded. The head-to-head average of 2.25 goals further confirms a pattern of mutual scoring in their encounters.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Sabadell v Real Sociedad II predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Real Sociedad II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Real Sociedad II to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Sabadell to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Sabadell Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
The 52.9% for Sabadell Asian Handicap -0.75 sits against roughly 76.9% implied by the current price (-24 pts). Real Sociedad II, meanwhile, cannot afford another disorganised defensive performance.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sabadell

LDLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Albacete1-2
25 Oct 2026H Tenerife1-1
18 Oct 2026A Burgos0-1
10 Oct 2026A AD Ceuta FC2-1
04 Oct 2026H FC Andorra0-0

Real Sociedad II

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
31 Oct 2026H Girona1-0
24 Oct 2026A Las Palmas0-1
17 Oct 2026H Almeria2-4
10 Oct 2026A Celta de Vigo II1-4
04 Oct 2026H Granada CF2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 82% vs implied 85% · edge -3.1 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Real Sociedad II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Real Sociedad II to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Sabadell to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Sabadell Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form shows Sabadell earning 5 points with a 60% BTTS rate, while Real Sociedad II has 3 points and the same BTTS rate. Both teams have struggled defensively but maintained attacking output, reinforcing the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Sabadell Over 2.5
60%Real Sociedad II Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.25, indicating a moderate scoring tempo. Both teams have shown tendencies to participate in matches with over 2.5 goals, especially Real Sociedad II with a 60% rate, suggesting an open game with goal-scoring opportunities.

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