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AZ Picerno crestAZ Picerno
v
Bari crestBari

Serie C - Girone C | Mon 09 Nov, 19:45

AZ Picerno v Bari Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 03:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AZ Picerno and Bari meet in Serie C - Girone C with both sides showing contrasting defensive records but similar attacking intent. AZ Picerno has conceded and scored an average of 1.6 goals per game recently, while Bari's defense is tighter, allowing just 0.8 goals per game but scoring less frequently. Both teams have a 60% rate of scoring and conceding in matches, suggesting an open game with chances at both ends. Bari sits second in the table, pushing for promotion, while AZ Picerno is mid-table, adding competitive edge to this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate in recent matches.
  • AZ Picerno concedes and scores 1.6 goals per game on average.
  • Bari concedes fewer goals but also scores less, with 1 goal per game.
  • The H2H average goals per match is 1.83, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Bari's higher league position suggests attacking motivation despite defensive solidity.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 70% chance, well above the implied market chance of 52.4%, indicating strong value at 1.91 . Both teams have a balanced record of scoring and conceding, with AZ Picerno's open defense and Bari's consistent attack creating opportunities for goals at both ends. The 60% BTTS rate for each side and the H2H average of nearly two goals per match support the likelihood of both teams finding the net. This pick is a solid choice given the tactical openness and recent form data.

Model BTTS Chance70%
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance67.4% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
AZ Picerno BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Bari BTTS Rate60%
Positive
H2H Average Goals1.83
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a tendency to both score and concede in recent matches, making Both Teams to Score a logical pick. Bari's defensive discipline contrasts with AZ Picerno's more open style, creating a tactical battle where goals at both ends are likely. The data supports this view with balanced BTTS rates and moderate average goals, suggesting an engaging contest with scoring opportunities for both sides.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The contrasting defensive styles and similar attacking outputs of AZ Picerno and Bari set the stage for goals at both ends. This BTTS pick captures the tactical balance and recent scoring trends effectively.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate in recent matches.

AZ Picerno concedes and scores 1.6 goals per game on average.

Bari concedes fewer goals but also scores less, with 1 goal per game.

The H2H average goals per match is 1.83, indicating moderate scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.83, indicating moderate scoring frequency.
  • This trend, combined with recent BTTS rates, suggests a match tempo that favors goal opportunities for both sides, aligning with an Over 2.5 goals trend panel context.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

AZ Picerno1.6
Avg goals scored
Bari1
AZ Picerno1.6
Avg goals conceded
Bari0.8
AZ Picerno60%
BTTS rate
Bari60%
AZ Picerno80%
Over 2.5 goals
Bari20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both AZ Picerno and Bari have a 60% rate of matches featuring goals from both sides, reflecting their attacking willingness and defensive vulnerabilities. The H2H average of 1.83 goals per game further suggests a moderate scoring tempo, with both teams likely to find the net in this fixture.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
AZ Picerno Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
AZ Picerno to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Bari Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Bari to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
The 67.4% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). AZ Picerno show a 60% BTTS rate and Bari show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

AZ Picerno

WWLLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 6L
31 Oct 2026A Cavese2-1
26 Oct 2026H Salernitana3-0
18 Oct 2026A Barletta0-1
12 Oct 2026H Cosenza1-2
04 Oct 2026A Potenza2-4

Bari

DDDWL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
31 Oct 2026H Scafatese1-1
23 Oct 2026A Casertana1-1
18 Oct 2026H Crotone0-0
10 Oct 2026H Giugliano2-0
04 Oct 2026A Salernitana1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +7.9 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
AZ Picerno Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
AZ Picerno to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3
Check odds @ 3
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Bari Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Bari to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Recent form shows AZ Picerno scoring and conceding 1.6 goals per game, indicating an open style, while Bari scores 1 goal and concedes 0.8 on average, reflecting tighter defense. Both teams have earned 6 points recently, maintaining competitive momentum that supports a BTTS outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%AZ Picerno Over 2.5
20%Bari Over 2.5
1.83H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.83, indicating moderate scoring frequency. This trend, combined with recent BTTS rates, suggests a match tempo that favors goal opportunities for both sides, aligning with an Over 2.5 goals trend panel context.

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