Stevenage
Fulham U21EFL Trophy | Tue 10 Nov, 19:00
Stevenage v Fulham U21 Stats
Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 03:07 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Stevenage hosts Fulham U21 in the EFL Trophy, with both sides showing attacking intent but contrasting defensive records. Stevenage has scored 4 goals in recent matches while conceding just once, whereas Fulham U21 has struggled defensively, conceding 4.5 goals on average. Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open play and offensive pressure. This fixture is likely to see sustained attacking phases and territorial battles, setting the stage for a high number of set-piece opportunities such as corners.
Over 9.5 Corners
- Stevenage averages 7 corners per game, Fulham U21 averages 3, combining for a strong corner count.
- Both teams have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, reflecting attacking openness.
- Stevenage’s recent matches show high shot volume, averaging 15.5 shots with 7.5 on target.
- Fulham U21’s defensive struggles suggest sustained pressure and more corners for Stevenage.
- Model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with positive value at 1.92 .
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model identifies a 69% probability for over 9.5 corners, significantly above the 52.1% implied by the , indicating clear value. Stevenage’s strong attacking output and high corner averages, combined with Fulham U21’s defensive vulnerabilities and willingness to attack, suggest frequent corner situations. Both teams’ matches consistently feature multiple goals and shots, which often correlate with elevated corner counts. The data quality is solid, supporting in this corner market selection.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Expect a match with sustained attacking pressure from Stevenage, who generate numerous corners through consistent wing play and shot volume. Fulham U21’s defensive issues and openness to attack increase the likelihood of set-piece situations. The combination of these tactical and statistical factors supports the over 9.5 corners selection as a strong choice for this fixture.
Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · corner market rationale
“Stevenage’s ability to create chances from wide areas and Fulham U21’s defensive openness set the stage for a high corner count, making over 9.5 corners a compelling market to watch.”
Key Data Signals
Over 9.5 Corners evidence
Stevenage averages 7 corners per game, Fulham U21 averages 3, combining for a strong corner count.
Both teams have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, reflecting attacking openness.
Stevenage’s recent matches show high shot volume, averaging 15.5 shots with 7.5 on target.
Fulham U21’s defensive struggles suggest sustained pressure and more corners for Stevenage.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 9.5 Corners notes
- In the last five matches, both teams have maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating fast tempo and open play.
- This trend suggests frequent attacking transitions and defensive gaps, which typically result in increased corner counts and goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Stevenage
Fulham U21
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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