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Burton Albion crestBurton Albion
v
Notts County crestNotts County

League One | Sat 06 Feb, 15:00

Burton Albion v Notts County Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 05:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Burton Albion face Notts County in League One on Sat 06 Feb, 15:00. Notts County and Burton Albion arrive at Meadow Lane unbeaten in League One, but their early returns tell slightly different stories. Notts County vs Burton Albion: Unbeaten Starts Put Efficiency Under the Microscope.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 3/4, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where both teams are likely to find the net, supporting the Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Burton Albion show a 40% BTTS rate and Notts County show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Burton Albion average 0.8 goals scored and Notts County average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. Burton Albion show a 40% BTTS rate and Notts County show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where both teams are likely to find the net, supporting the Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Neutral
Burton Albion show a 40% BTTS rate and Notts County.Visible data support
Positive
Burton Albion average 0.8 goals scored and Notts County average.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where both teams are likely to find the net, supporting the Both Teams To Score YES selection. Burton Albion show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Notts County show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Main risk

That difference is small after only two matches, yet it sharpens the central issue here: both sides have been competitive, but Burton have so far made slightly better use of it.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where both teams are likely to find the net, supporting.

Burton Albion show a 40% BTTS rate and Notts County show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Burton Albion average 0.8 goals scored and Notts County average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Burton Albion0.8
Avg goals scored
Notts County1.2
Burton Albion1.2
Avg goals conceded
Notts County1
Burton Albion40%
BTTS rate
Notts County40%
Burton Albion40%
Over 2.5 goals
Notts County20%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Burton Albion

LWDDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
31 Oct 2026A Wycombe0-2
24 Oct 2026H Leyton Orient2-1
20 Oct 2026H Bradford0-0
17 Oct 2026A Peterborough2-2
10 Oct 2026A Doncaster0-1

Notts County

WDWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
31 Oct 2026A Mansfield Town2-0
24 Oct 2026H Stockport County1-1
20 Oct 2026H Sheffield Wednesday2-0
17 Oct 2026A Wycombe0-2
10 Oct 2026H Oxford United1-2

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Burton Albion Over 2.5
20%Notts County Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Burton Albion sit at 40% and Notts County sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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