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Philippines crestPhilippines
v
Myanmar crestMyanmar

Friendlies | Tue 09 Jun, 12:30

Philippines v Myanmar Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 15:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Philippines face Myanmar in Friendlies on Tue 09 Jun, 12:30. Philippines host Myanmar at the Rizal Memorial Sports Complex on 9 June 2026 in an international friendly shaped by attacking form, defensive questions and fresh momentum. Philippines are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches, scoring fifteen goals.

BT4Y best bet

Philippines Win

  • At 11/4, Philippines Win implies roughly 27%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 35%.
  • However, they have conceded sixteen goals across their past six fixtures.
  • Philippines have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Philippines Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 35% for Philippines Win sits against roughly 27% implied by the current price. Philippines have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Philippines Win angle more than a raw possession edge. However, they have conceded sixteen goals across their past six fixtures.

Model chance vs price35% model chance against roughly 27% implied
Positive
Philippines have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
However, they have conceded sixteen goals across their past.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Philippines Win is the preferred angle because however, they have conceded sixteen goals across their past six fixtures. Philippines have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Philippines Win angle more than a raw possession edge. That does not automatically mean this game will become a carnival, but it does tell us their recent matches have rarely been quiet.

Main risk

That does not automatically mean this game will become a carnival, but it does tell us their recent matches have rarely been quiet.

Key Data Signals

Philippines Win evidence

However, they have conceded sixteen goals across their past six fixtures.

Philippines have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Philippines Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Philippines Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Philippines5
    Avg goals scored
    Myanmar6
    Philippines1
    Avg goals conceded
    Myanmar1
    Philippines100%
    BTTS rate
    Myanmar100%
    Philippines100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Myanmar100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 56% · edge +22.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickPhilippines to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 35% vs implied 67% · edge -31.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Philippines Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Philippines to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Philippines6
    Avg corners for
    Myanmar-
    Philippines7
    Avg total corners
    Myanmar-
    Philippines1
    Avg yellow cards
    Myanmar-
    Philippines0
    Avg shots
    Myanmar-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Philippines

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    03 Jun 2026H Guam5-1

    Myanmar

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    06 Jun 2026H Guam6-1
    Market aligned with main pickPhilippines to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 35% vs implied 67% · edge -31.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Philippines Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Philippines wins
    1Draws
    0Myanmar wins
    12 Dec 2024Philippines v Myanmar1-1
    18 Dec 2021Myanmar v Philippines2-3
    Market aligned with main pickPhilippines to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 35% vs implied 67% · edge -31.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Philippines to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Philippines2
    Played
    Myanmar2
    Philippines5
    Avg goals for
    Myanmar3.5
    Philippines1
    Avg goals against
    Myanmar3
    Philippines0
    Clean sheets
    Myanmar0
    Market aligned with main pickPhilippines to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 35% vs implied 67% · edge -31.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Philippines Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Season data supports Philippines to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Philippines Over 2.5
    100%Myanmar Over 2.5
    3.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Philippines sit at 100% and Myanmar sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.