Football Stats Hub

Lyon crestLyon
v
Rennes crestRennes

Ligue 1 | Sat 19 Sep, 19:45

Lyon v Rennes Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lyon hosts Rennes in a pivotal Ligue 1 clash with both sides locked in a tight race for Champions League qualification. Lyon arrives on a three-match winning streak, buoyed by a strong home record featuring eight clean sheets this season, while Rennes boasts four consecutive away victories, scoring 14 goals in that span. Both teams exhibit attacking prowess and tactical intent, with Rennes' relentless forward play meeting Lyon's aggressive home style. The fixture promises an open, high-tempo encounter where defensive resilience will be tested amid mounting pressure to secure European football.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Eight of the last nine Lyon vs Rennes matches had over 2.5 goals.
  • Seven of the last nine meetings saw both teams score.
  • Rennes scored 14 goals in their last four away league games.
  • Lyon has kept eight clean sheets at home this season.
  • Both teams are separated by just one point in the league, intensifying the stakes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score highly with a 70.8% chance, reflecting the strong attacking form and historical goal trends between Lyon and Rennes. The last nine meetings overwhelmingly produced goals from both sides, supported by Rennes' prolific away scoring and Lyon's consistent home netting. This pick aligns with tactical profiles showing open play and transition threats, making it a compelling choice despite Lyon's solid defensive record. No price warning is needed as the fairly reflect the model's , signaling a balanced value opportunity.

Historical BTTS Rate7 of last 9 matches
Strong positive
Rennes Away Goals14 goals in last 4 away games
Strong positive
Lyon Home ScoringConsistent goals and 8 clean sheets
Positive
Model Confidence58% confidence level
Positive
Price vs Model ChanceOdds imply 65.2% vs model 70.8% chance
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams are in excellent scoring form and the fixture's tactical setup favors open play and attacking transitions. Rennes' relentless away momentum combined with Lyon's home resilience suggests goals at both ends. This bet captures the likely scenario of an end-to-end contest where defensive caution is outweighed by offensive intent and quality.

Main risk

Recent meetings between these two have been anything but predictable.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture is a classic clash of attacking styles and defensive grit, with both sides showing clear intent to score. The balance of offensive firepower and tactical openness makes Both Teams to Score a logical and football-savvy selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Eight of the last nine Lyon vs Rennes matches had over 2.5 goals.

Seven of the last nine meetings saw both teams score.

Rennes scored 14 goals in their last four away league games.

Lyon has kept eight clean sheets at home this season.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 4.4, with eight of nine recent matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This trend reflects a fixture historically prone to open play and scoring opportunities, driven by tactical openness and offensive intent from both Lyon and Rennes, supporting expectations of a high-tempo, goal-filled encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lyon1.5
Avg goals scored
Rennes2
Lyon0.5
Avg goals conceded
Rennes1.25
Lyon50%
BTTS rate
Rennes75%
Lyon25%
Over 2.5 goals
Rennes75%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 67% · edge +4.1 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 33%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Historical data shows eight of the last nine meetings between Lyon and Rennes featured over 2.5 goals, with seven seeing both teams score. Rennes' 14 goals in four recent away games and Lyon's consistent home scoring underpin the expectation of an open, goal-rich match. Tactical openness and transition threats from both sides further support this high-scoring outlook.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 67% · edge +4.1 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Rennes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Rennes to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Lyon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 8/15, reflecting a solid implied probability of 65.2%. The model's higher chance of 70.8% indicates a slight , supported by strong attacking form and historical BTTS frequency. This pricing suggests a fair but slightly favorable opportunity, with no immediate warning flags on sensitivity.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Lyon5.67
Avg corners for
Rennes3.67
Lyon10.33
Avg total corners
Rennes10.67
Lyon1
Avg yellow cards
Rennes2
Lyon13.67
Avg shots
Rennes17
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 65% · edge -1.1 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Lyon averages 5.5 corners per game while Rennes averages 4.25, indicating moderate attacking pressure from both sides. Rennes’ higher average shots (17) and shots on target (5.75) compared to Lyon (13 shots, 4 on target) reflect their aggressive offensive approach. Card averages are moderate, suggesting disciplined but competitive play that will maintain tempo and attacking opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lyon

DWDW
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
12 Sep 2026A Paris FC0-0
04 Sep 2026H Auxerre3-1
29 Aug 2026H Le Havre1-1
22 Aug 2026A Toulouse2-0

Rennes

WWWD
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
11 Sep 2026H Marseille1-0
06 Sep 2026A Angers2-1
30 Aug 2026H Le Mans3-2
23 Aug 2026H Paris Saint Germain2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Rennes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Rennes to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Lyon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Lyon to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form data highlights Rennes’ potent away scoring with 2 goals per game and a 75% BTTS rate, reflecting their offensive efficiency. Lyon’s home form shows a more balanced approach with 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game, alongside a 50% BTTS rate. Both teams’ momentum and scoring consistency support the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Lyon wins
0Draws
6Rennes wins
03 May 2026Lyon v Rennes4-2
14 Sep 2025Rennes v Lyon3-1
26 Apr 2025Lyon v Rennes4-1
18 Aug 2024Rennes v Lyon3-0
26 Jan 2024Lyon v Rennes2-3
12 Nov 2023Rennes v Lyon0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 67% · edge +4.1 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Rennes to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Lyon to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The head-to-head record shows a strong trend towards high-scoring games, with Rennes scoring at least three goals in three of the last four encounters. While Rennes have had recent upper hand, Lyon’s capacity to score and defend at home balances the dynamic. The historical data supports a competitive match with goals from both sides, though recent Rennes control adds an attacking edge.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ligue 1

Lyon4
Played
Rennes4
Lyon1.5
Avg goals for
Rennes2
Lyon0.5
Avg goals against
Rennes1.3
Lyon2
Clean sheets
Rennes1
Best odds for this sectionRennes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 46% · edge +13.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Rennes to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Lyon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Lyon to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Lyon’s season features a strong defensive foundation with eight clean sheets at home, yet their matches often produce goals due to attacking transitions. Rennes’ season stats reveal a high-scoring away record with 14 goals in four matches, underscoring their offensive threat. These contrasting profiles suggest a match where defensive solidity coexists with frequent scoring chances for both teams.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Rennes1043103
4Lyon842204
Lyon sits fourth in Ligue 1, just one point ahead of third-placed Rennes, intensifying the competitive stakes for European qualification. This proximity in the table adds pressure on both sides to attack and secure points, reducing the likelihood of cautious, low-scoring play and increasing the chance of goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Lyon Over 2.5
75%Rennes Over 2.5
4.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 4.4, with eight of nine recent matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend reflects a fixture historically prone to open play and scoring opportunities, driven by tactical openness and offensive intent from both Lyon and Rennes, supporting expectations of a high-tempo, goal-filled encounter.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Lyon v Rennes prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Paris FC v StrasbourgLigue 1 · Sat 19 Sep 16:15Angers v Estac TroyesLigue 1 · Sat 19 Sep 19:45Toulouse v Le HavreLigue 1 · Sat 19 Sep 19:45Le Mans v LorientLigue 1 · Sat 19 Sep 19:45

Competition and hubs

Ligue 1 hubLigue 1 fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre