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Kosovo crestKosovo
v
Andorra crestAndorra

Friendlies | Sun 07 Jun, 19:00

Kosovo v Andorra Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 12:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kosovo hosts Andorra in a friendly that carries emotional weight beyond the category. Kosovo, narrowly missing World Cup qualification, seek to reset after recent setbacks, relying on a strong home record with just one loss in nine matches at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri. Andorra arrives buoyed by a rare win ending a 15-game drought but remains defensively oriented, aiming to frustrate Kosovo's attacking rhythm. Kosovo's likely lineup emphasizes width and forward presence, with Lindon Emerllahu pushing for a start after a recent impact off the bench. The match promises a tactical battle between Kosovo's possession control and Andorra's compact defensive block.

BT4Y match pick

Kosovo to Win & Under 2.5 Goals

  • Kosovo lost only once in last nine home games, showing strong defensive resilience.
  • Andorra scored just two goals in six matches, indicating low attacking threat.
  • Kosovo averages 1.5 goals per game in recent fixtures, suggesting moderate scoring.
  • Andorra’s defensive setup aims to limit space and slow the game tempo.
  • Emerllahu’s recent goal off the bench adds verticality to Kosovo’s midfield attack.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model supports Kosovo to win combined with under 2.5 goals based on Kosovo's robust home form and Andorra's low scoring record. Kosovo's defensive discipline at home and Andorra's compact, low-scoring approach create a scenario favoring a controlled victory with limited goals. Although the are slightly short, the tactical setup and recent form justify cautious backing of this selection. Reduced stakes are advisable due to the price sensitivity and the possibility of an unexpected goal burst.

Home Defensive RecordOnly one loss in last nine home games
Strong positive
Andorra Scoring Rate2 goals in last 6 matches
Strong positive
Kosovo Scoring Average1.5 goals per game over last six matches
Positive
Price SensitivitySlightly short odds at 3.6 decimal
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Kosovo's strong home form and tactical control set the stage for a disciplined win with limited scoring. Their ability to maintain possession and break down Andorra's deep defensive block, combined with Andorra's low attacking threat, makes Kosovo to win & under 2.5 goals a solid prediction for this friendly.

Main risk

The main risk is an early defensive lapse by Kosovo or a rare Andorra set-piece goal that could push the total goals above 2.5, breaking the under line.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal total

“Kosovo’s home resilience and Andorra’s defensive caution create a tactical chess match where a controlled Kosovo victory with few goals is the most logical outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Kosovo to Win & Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Kosovo lost only once in last nine home games, showing strong defensive resilience.

Andorra scored just two goals in six matches, indicating low attacking threat.

Kosovo averages 1.5 goals per game in recent fixtures, suggesting moderate scoring.

Andorra’s defensive setup aims to limit space and slow the game tempo.

What To Watch In The Data

Kosovo to Win & Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5, with Kosovo winning one and one draw.
  • This suggests a moderate scoring trend but with Kosovo’s home advantage and Andorra’s defensive tactics, the match is likely to lean towards fewer goals, supporting the under 2.5 goals trend in recent encounters.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kosovo1
Avg goals scored
Andorra0.5
Kosovo2
Avg goals conceded
Andorra0.75
Kosovo100%
BTTS rate
Andorra0%
Kosovo100%
Over 2.5 goals
Andorra0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 33% · edge +29.2 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Andorra’s recent six-match scoring record of just two goals and Kosovo’s average of 1.5 goals per game support a low-scoring match with a clean sheet likely for Kosovo. Andorra’s defensive compactness and Kosovo’s controlled attacking style reduce the likelihood of both teams scoring, aligning with the BTTS No and under 3.5 goals context.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickKosovo to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 86% · edge -58.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 70%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The for Kosovo to win combined with under 2.5 goals reflect a slightly short price at 3.6 decimal, implying a 27.8% chance. The is close at 27%, indicating the price is fairly aligned but warrants cautious staking. The market captures Kosovo’s home strength and Andorra’s low scoring, though the price sensitivity suggests monitoring for any drift before committing larger stakes.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Kosovo-
Avg corners for
Andorra5
Kosovo-
Avg total corners
Andorra10.33
Kosovo-
Avg yellow cards
Andorra2
Kosovo-
Avg shots
Andorra3
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 50% · edge +19.7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Andorra averages five corners and nearly three shots on target per game, indicating some attacking intent despite their defensive posture. Kosovo’s attacking pressure at home is expected to generate sustained territory and set-piece opportunities, while Andorra’s fouling profile and card risk suggest a physical contest with tactical fouls to disrupt Kosovo’s rhythm.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kosovo

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
31 May 2026A Czechia1-2

Andorra

WLDL
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
04 Jun 2026H Liechtenstein2-0
29 May 2026A Iraq0-1
31 Mar 2026A San Marino0-0
27 Mar 2026A Montenegro0-2
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 99% · edge -48 pts
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
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Kosovo to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Kosovo’s recent form shows a mix of wins and losses but maintains a strong home baseline with only one defeat in nine matches. Andorra’s recent win ended a long winless streak, boosting morale but their overall form remains defensive and cautious. This contrast suggests Kosovo will push for control while Andorra aims to resist, supporting a low-scoring home win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Kosovo wins
1Draws
0Andorra wins
12 Oct 2023Andorra v Kosovo0-3
28 Mar 2023Kosovo v Andorra1-1
Market aligned with main pickKosovo to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 86% · edge -58.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The two previous meetings between Kosovo and Andorra show Kosovo with a win and a draw, indicating a slight edge but not overwhelming control. The 3-0 away win by Kosovo in the last encounter highlights their attacking potential, but Andorra’s ability to hold a draw at Kosovo’s home ground suggests they can frustrate the hosts, adding tactical nuance to this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Friendlies

Kosovo2
Played
Andorra5
Kosovo2
Avg goals for
Andorra0.4
Kosovo1
Avg goals against
Andorra1.2
Kosovo1
Clean sheets
Andorra2
Market aligned with main pickKosovo to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 86% · edge -58.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Kosovo’s season stats reveal consistent scoring with nine goals in six matches and a solid defensive record at home. Andorra’s low scoring and higher goals conceded reflect their defensive approach and limited offensive threat. These season-long trends underpin the expectation of a Kosovo win with under 2.5 goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Kosovo Over 2.5
0%Andorra Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5, with Kosovo winning one and one draw. This suggests a moderate scoring trend but with Kosovo’s home advantage and Andorra’s defensive tactics, the match is likely to lean towards fewer goals, supporting the under 2.5 goals trend in recent encounters.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Kosovo v Andorra prediction

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