Football Stats Hub

Hapoel Tel Aviv crestHapoel Tel Aviv
v
Ludogorets crestLudogorets

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 23 Jul, 19:30

Hapoel Tel Aviv v Ludogorets Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 09:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv face Ludogorets in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 23 Jul, 19:30. That performance followed a 1-0 victory over Lokomotiv Plovdiv, giving the Eagles consecutive league wins and consecutive clean sheets. Ludogorets have shown strong defensive form with consecutive clean sheets domestically and a solid home record in Europe.

BT4Y match pick

Ludogorets Razgrad to Win

  • At 6/5, Ludogorets Razgrad to Win implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Ludogorets have conceded just four goals across their last six matches, with five of those fixtures producing fewer than three goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Ludogorets Razgrad to Win sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Ludogorets have conceded just four goals across their last six matches, with five of those fixtures producing fewer than three goals.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Neutral
Ludogorets have conceded just four goals across their last.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -2.5 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Hapoel Tel Aviv Win is the preferred angle because ludogorets have conceded just four goals across their last six matches, with five of those fixtures producing fewer than three goals. The equation is simple but unforgiving.

Main risk

The equation is simple but unforgiving.

Key Data Signals

Ludogorets Razgrad to Win evidence

Ludogorets have conceded just four goals across their last six matches, with five of those fixtures producing fewer.

What To Watch In The Data

Ludogorets Razgrad to Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHapoel Tel Aviv to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 35% · edge +8.3 pts
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Load more odds for this section
    Hapoel Tel Aviv Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Hapoel Tel Aviv to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hapoel Tel Aviv-
    Avg goals scored
    Ludogorets-
    Hapoel Tel Aviv-
    Avg goals conceded
    Ludogorets-
    Hapoel Tel Aviv-
    BTTS rate
    Ludogorets-
    Hapoel Tel Aviv-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Ludogorets-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 42% · edge +8 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hapoel Tel Aviv

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Hapoel Tel Aviv yet.

    Ludogorets

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Ludogorets yet.

    Market aligned with main pickHapoel Tel Aviv to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 35% · edge +8.3 pts
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 73%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Hapoel Tel Aviv Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Hapoel Tel Aviv wins
    0Draws
    0Ludogorets wins
    Market aligned with main pickHapoel Tel Aviv to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 35% · edge +8.3 pts
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Hapoel Tel Aviv to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    UEFA Europa Conference League

    Hapoel Tel Aviv5
    Played
    Ludogorets2
    Hapoel Tel Aviv1.4
    Avg goals for
    Ludogorets1
    Hapoel Tel Aviv0.8
    Avg goals against
    Ludogorets2
    Hapoel Tel Aviv3
    Clean sheets
    Ludogorets0
    Market aligned with main pickHapoel Tel Aviv to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 35% · edge +8.3 pts
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Load more odds for this section
    Hapoel Tel Aviv Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Season data supports Hapoel Tel Aviv to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Hapoel Tel Aviv Over 2.5
    -Ludogorets Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Ludogorets have conceded just four goals across their last six matches, with five of those fixtures producing fewer than three goals.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Hapoel Tel Aviv v Ludogorets prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    UEFA Europa Conference League hubUEFA Europa Conference League hubHapoel Tel Aviv v Ludogorets predictionbest bets hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre