Greece
ItalyFriendlies | Sun 07 Jun, 20:00
Greece v Italy Stats
Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 12:25 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Greece face Italy in Friendlies on Sun 07 Jun, 20:00. Gianluigi Donnarumma has already reached 82 senior caps at the age of 27, making him the experienced anchor in an otherwise youthful Italy group. Italy hold the superior technical capability and boast an impressive record of three wins in their last five fixtures.
Rationale: Under 2
- At 4/5, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
- An Under 2.5 selection requires two or fewer goals to be scored in total.
- Italy are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Greece at 0.67.
- BTTS rates of 33% for Greece and 0% for Italy show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Italy are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Greece at 0.67. An Under 2.5 selection requires two or fewer goals to be scored in total.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because an Under 2.5 selection requires two or fewer goals to be scored in total. Italy are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Greece at 0.67. In Solna, Kostas Tsimikas gave Greece the lead, but the match turned against them before Giorgios Masouras struck from close range in the 95th minute to secure a 2-2 draw.
In Solna, Kostas Tsimikas gave Greece the lead, but the match turned against them before Giorgios Masouras struck from close range in the 95th minute to secure a 2-2 draw.
Key Data Signals
Under 2.5 Goals evidence
An Under 2.5 selection requires two or fewer goals to be scored in total.
Italy are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Greece at 0.67.
BTTS rates of 33% for Greece and 0% for Italy show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
What To Watch In The Data
Under 2.5 Goals notes
- The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
Load more odds for this section
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Load more odds for this section
Continue the research
Useful next reads
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Greece
Italy
Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.
Season team stats
Friendlies
Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
