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Always Ready crestAlways Ready
v
Mirassol crestMirassol

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Wed 20 May, 01:00

Always Ready v Mirassol Stats

Data last updated: Fri 19 Jun 2026, 11:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Always Ready face Mirassol in CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wed 20 May, 01:00. Mirassol have looked like seasoned veterans in this competition, winning three of their four fixtures with defensive stability. Mirassol are favoured due to their highly organized continental form under Rafael Guanaes.

BT4Y best bet

Requires predicting the outright outcome of the match at the conclusion of standard regulation time: a home victory, a draw, or an away victory

  • At 13/2, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Mirassol’s Libertadores matches have also developed a clear trend towards low-scoring, controlled football.
  • Mirassol are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.25 goals per match, with Always Ready at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Always Ready and 0% for Mirassol show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. Mirassol are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Always Ready at 1. Mirassol’s Libertadores matches have also developed a clear trend towards low-scoring, controlled football.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 13% implied
Strong positive
Mirassol are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.25.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 0% for Always Ready and 0%.Visible data support
Positive
Mirassol’s Libertadores matches have also developed a clear trend.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because mirassol’s Libertadores matches have also developed a clear trend towards low-scoring, controlled football. Mirassol are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Always Ready at 1. Always Ready have had anything but routine.

Main risk

Always Ready have had anything but routine.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Mirassol’s Libertadores matches have also developed a clear trend towards low-scoring, controlled football.

Mirassol are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.25 goals per match, with Always Ready at 1.

BTTS rates of 0% for Always Ready and 0% for Mirassol show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Always Ready1
Avg goals scored
Mirassol1.25
Always Ready1
Avg goals conceded
Mirassol0.5
Always Ready0%
BTTS rate
Mirassol0%
Always Ready25%
Over 2.5 goals
Mirassol0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 56% · edge +10.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Always Ready6
Played
Mirassol6
Always Ready1.2
Avg goals for
Mirassol1.2
Always Ready1.5
Avg goals against
Mirassol0.7
Always Ready1
Clean sheets
Mirassol3
Best odds for this sectionMirassol Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 57% · edge +18.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Mirassol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Always Ready to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
6
Check odds @ 6
Always Ready Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Season data supports Mirassol Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Always Ready

WLLL
Last 51W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 3L
06 May 2026H Lanus4-0
29 Apr 2026A Mirassol0-2
16 Apr 2026A Lanus0-1
08 Apr 2026H LDU de Quito0-1

Mirassol

WWLW
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
07 May 2026H LDU de Quito2-0
29 Apr 2026H Always Ready2-0
15 Apr 2026A LDU de Quito0-2
08 Apr 2026H Lanus1-0
Best odds for this sectionMirassol Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 57% · edge +18.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Mirassol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.47
Check odds @ 2.47
Always Ready to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
6
Check odds @ 6
Always Ready Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 42% · edge +31.8 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Mirassol Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Mirassol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Always Ready to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
6
Check odds @ 6
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
4
Check odds @ 4
Always Ready Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 3.5 Cards is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Always Ready4
Avg corners for
Mirassol5.25
Always Ready10.75
Avg total corners
Mirassol9.75
Always Ready3
Avg yellow cards
Mirassol2.5
Always Ready15.5
Avg shots
Mirassol11.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 42% · edge +31.8 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Always Ready wins
0Draws
1Mirassol wins
29 Apr 2026Mirassol v Always Ready2-0
Best odds for this sectionMirassol to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +4.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Always Ready to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
6
Check odds @ 6
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample gives context for Mirassol to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Mirassol1264023
4Always Ready36105-2
CONMEBOL Libertadores standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Always Ready Over 2.5
0%Mirassol Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Always Ready sit at 25% and Mirassol sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Always Ready v Mirassol prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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