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Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 19:00

Albania v Luxembourg Stats

Data last updated: Sun 07 Jun 2026, 15:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Albania and Luxembourg meet in a friendly where both sides are likely to test attacking options and tactical setups ahead of more competitive fixtures. Recent matches show defensive caution, but the teams' playing styles suggest a willingness to push wide and create set-piece opportunities. With Albania averaging 7 corners per game and Luxembourg 4, the match could see sustained wing play and pressure, especially as both sides seek to assert control and rhythm. The friendly nature allows for open play and experimentation, increasing chances for multiple corners.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Albania averages 7 corners per game, Luxembourg 4, combining for 11 on average.
  • Recent form shows both teams have low scoring but maintain attacking wing play.
  • Player data indicates active wide midfielders and defenders contributing to attacking pressure.
  • The match context as a friendly encourages open play and tactical testing, raising corner potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 8.5 Corners at 75% chance, reflecting both teams' tendency to generate corners through wing play and sustained pressure. Albania's average of 7 corners per match and Luxembourg's 4 combine to a strong baseline above the 8.5 threshold. The friendly setting supports open attacking patterns, increasing corner opportunities. Player-level data shows key wide players like J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz actively shooting and creating chances, which often lead to corners. No price warning applies, making this a standard stake recommendation.

Albania average corners7 per game
Strong positive
Luxembourg average corners4 per game
Positive
Match contextFriendly encourages open play and wing attacks
Positive
Key player attacking involvementJ. de Sousa Moreira Cruz high shot and SOT rates
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively friendly where Albania's wing play and Luxembourg's midfield activity generate frequent corner opportunities. The combined average corner rate supports a bet on Over 8.5 Corners, as both teams look to test attacking patterns and create set-piece chances in an open game environment.

Main risk

The main risk is the defensive caution often seen in friendlies, which could limit attacking pressure and reduce corner counts.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture's corner potential stems from Albania's aggressive wing play and Luxembourg's midfield creativity, which together should produce a high volume of corners in a friendly setting.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Albania averages 7 corners per game, Luxembourg 4, combining for 11 on average.

Recent form shows both teams have low scoring but maintain attacking wing play.

Player data indicates active wide midfielders and defenders contributing to attacking pressure.

The match context as a friendly encourages open play and tactical testing, raising corner potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • The last head-to-head meeting featured 3 goals but limited data on corners.
  • However, recent trends in both teams' matches show a steady tempo with wing attacks and set-piece creation, suggesting a good chance for Over 2.5 Goals and supporting an open style that also favors corner accumulation.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Albania7
Avg corners for
Luxembourg4
Albania9
Avg total corners
Luxembourg11
Albania1
Avg yellow cards
Luxembourg1
Albania13
Avg shots
Luxembourg10
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 48% · edge +27.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Albania averages 7 corners and Luxembourg 4, supported by shot volumes of 13 and 10 respectively. The moderate card averages suggest a disciplined game, with corners arising mainly from attacking pressure and wing play rather than fouls.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Albania0
Avg goals scored
Luxembourg0
Albania1
Avg goals conceded
Luxembourg1
Albania0%
BTTS rate
Luxembourg0%
Albania0%
Over 2.5 goals
Luxembourg0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 62% · edge +6.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 33%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Both teams have low recent goal and BTTS rates, indicating a cautious approach to scoring. However, this does not diminish corner potential, as attacking plays often end in set pieces rather than goals in this matchup.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 48% · edge +27.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Luxembourg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Luxembourg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 33%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Albania to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The Over 8.5 Corners market is priced without explicit , but the model's 75% chance suggests a solid probability. The combined average corners from both teams exceed the threshold, making this a price-sensitive but reasonable bet with standard staking recommended.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Albania

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
03 Jun 2026H Israel0-1
31 Mar 2026A Ukraine0-1

Luxembourg

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
03 Jun 2026H Italy0-1
Best odds for this sectionLuxembourg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 29% · edge +22.5 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Luxembourg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Albania to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Albania Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Recent form shows both teams have not scored in their latest matches and have low over 2.5 goal rates, but corner generation remains consistent due to their attacking wing play and midfield pressure, supporting the Over 8.5 Corners selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Albania wins
0Draws
1Luxembourg wins
04 Jun 2017Luxembourg v Albania2-1
Best odds for this sectionLuxembourg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 19% · edge +22 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 33%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Albania to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Only one previous meeting exists, which ended with 3 goals scored, indicating some attacking openness. While corner data is limited, this suggests the teams can engage in open play, indirectly supporting the likelihood of multiple corners in this friendly.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Albania3
Played
Luxembourg2
Albania0
Avg goals for
Luxembourg0.5
Albania1
Avg goals against
Luxembourg0.5
Albania0
Clean sheets
Luxembourg1
Best odds for this sectionLuxembourg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 29% · edge +22.5 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Luxembourg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Albania to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Albania Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Season-long data confirms Albania's strong corner generation with an average of 7 per game and Luxembourg's 4, reflecting tactical tendencies to attack down the flanks and create set-piece chances, underpinning the Over 8.5 Corners bet.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Albania Over 2.5
0%Luxembourg Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The last head-to-head meeting featured 3 goals but limited data on corners. However, recent trends in both teams' matches show a steady tempo with wing attacks and set-piece creation, suggesting a good chance for Over 2.5 Goals and supporting an open style that also favors corner accumulation.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.