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Shelbourne crestShelbourne
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Dundalk crestDundalk

Premier Division | Fri 03 Jul, 20:00

Shelbourne v Dundalk Stats

Data last updated: Thu 02 Jul 2026, 05:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shelbourne host Dundalk in a Premier Division clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and vulnerability at the back. Shelbourne have scored 1.4 goals per game but conceded 1.8, while Dundalk average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Recent form shows Shelbourne earning 6 points and Dundalk 10 in their last five matches, reflecting competitive momentum. Both sides have a strong tendency to see both teams scoring, making this fixture an open contest with offensive threats on both ends and tactical battles likely to unfold under Friday night lights.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Shelbourne and Dundalk both have an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals at both ends.
  • Shelbourne concede 1.8 goals per game, showing defensive vulnerabilities that Dundalk can exploit.
  • Dundalk average 17.67 shots per game with 5 on target, highlighting their attacking pressure.
  • Martin has 6 goals and over 1 shot on target per 90 minutes, a key scoring threat.
  • Recent form favors Dundalk slightly with 10 points from last five, but Shelbourne’s attacking output keeps BTTS likely.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by strong attacking numbers and defensive frailties on both sides. Shelbourne’s high goals conceded rate and Dundalk’s consistent shot volume create fertile ground for goals at both ends. The 80% BTTS rate for both teams this season further underlines the likelihood of mutual scoring. While the do not indicate clear value, the football context justifies the pick as a solid tactical expectation for this fixture. No data limitations affect in this selection.

BTTS Rate80% for both teams
Strong positive
Goals ConcededShelbourne 1.8, Dundalk 1.2 per game
Positive
Shot VolumeDundalk 17.67 shots per game
Strong positive
Recent FormDundalk 10 points, Shelbourne 6 points last 5 games
Positive
Model Confidence76% chance BTTS
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive lapses, making a match with goals at both ends highly probable. Dundalk’s higher recent form and shot volume complement Shelbourne’s goal threat, supporting the expectation of both sides scoring in this lively Premier Division encounter.

Main risk

The main risk is that either team could tighten defensively or adopt a cautious approach, reducing scoring chances and potentially leading to a clean sheet for one side.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of Shelbourne and Dundalk suggest an open game where defensive vulnerabilities will be tested, making both teams to score a logical and football-driven selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Shelbourne and Dundalk both have an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals at both ends.

Shelbourne concede 1.8 goals per game, showing defensive vulnerabilities that Dundalk can exploit.

Dundalk average 17.67 shots per game with 5 on target, highlighting their attacking pressure.

Martin has 6 goals and over 1 shot on target per 90 minutes, a key scoring threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.1, with both teams frequently scoring.
  • Recent form and season stats show a high rate of over 2.5 goals matches, indicating a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals and BTTS outcomes.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Shelbourne3
Avg corners for
Dundalk6
Shelbourne8.33
Avg total corners
Dundalk11
Shelbourne2.67
Avg yellow cards
Dundalk1.67
Shelbourne11
Avg shots
Dundalk17.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 58% · edge +3.5 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Dundalk’s higher average shots (17.67) and corners (6) indicate sustained attacking pressure, while Shelbourne’s 3 corners and 2.67 yellow cards per game suggest a competitive, physical contest. These factors contribute to chances and potential set-piece goals, reinforcing BTTS.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shelbourne1.4
Avg goals scored
Dundalk1.6
Shelbourne1.8
Avg goals conceded
Dundalk1.2
Shelbourne80%
BTTS rate
Dundalk80%
Shelbourne80%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundalk60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate, with Shelbourne conceding 1.8 goals per game and Dundalk 1.2. Combined with their attacking outputs, this fixture is likely to feature goals from both sides. The average 2.1 goals in their last 10 meetings supports a balanced goal threat.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Dundalk to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%
3
Check odds @ 3
Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The Both Teams to Score market is priced without clear value but aligns well with the football evidence. The 76% reflects strong attacking and defensive trends, making this a price-sensitive but tactically sound pick. movement downward would reduce value, while any drift upward could enhance it.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shelbourne

DLDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 6D 1L
27 Jun 2026A Sligo Rovers2-2
22 Jun 2026H Bohemians0-3
19 Jun 2026A Drogheda United2-2
12 Jun 2026H Shamrock Rovers2-1
29 May 2026H Galway United1-1

Dundalk

LWWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
26 Jun 2026H Waterford2-3
19 Jun 2026A Bohemians2-1
12 Jun 2026A Galway United1-0
29 May 2026H Derry City2-1
22 May 2026A Drogheda United1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 60% · edge +24.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Dundalk to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%
3
Check odds @ 3
Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Dundalk’s 10 points from the last five matches show strong momentum, while Shelbourne’s 6 points reflect some inconsistency but continued goal scoring. Both teams’ recent BTTS rates remain high, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Shelbourne wins
3Draws
1Dundalk wins
01 May 2026Dundalk v Shelbourne1-2
03 Apr 2026Shelbourne v Dundalk2-3
20 Jan 2026Shelbourne v Dundalk2-1
30 Aug 2024Dundalk v Shelbourne0-1
07 Jun 2024Shelbourne v Dundalk1-0
03 May 2024Dundalk v Shelbourne0-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Dundalk to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.1 goals per game, with both teams regularly finding the net. While not overwhelmingly high, this supports a trend of shared scoring opportunities and backs the BTTS selection as consistent with past encounters.
Season team stats

Premier Division

Shelbourne23
Played
Dundalk22
Shelbourne1.4
Avg goals for
Dundalk1.6
Shelbourne1.5
Avg goals against
Dundalk1.5
Shelbourne5
Clean sheets
Dundalk5
Best odds for this sectionDundalk to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 33% · edge +29 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Season-long data shows both teams score and concede regularly, with Shelbourne’s 1.4 goals for and 1.8 against, and Dundalk’s 1.6 goals for and 1.2 against. Their balanced attacking and defensive profiles make both teams to score a fitting reflection of their season trends.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Dundalk35229854
5Shelbourne31237106-1
Shelbourne sit 5th with 31 points and Dundalk 4th with 35 points, indicating a close contest with both sides motivated to secure points. The standings suggest competitive stakes but do not heavily influence the BTTS market, which is more driven by attacking and defensive form.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Shelbourne Over 2.5
60%Dundalk Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.1, with both teams frequently scoring. Recent form and season stats show a high rate of over 2.5 goals matches, indicating a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals and BTTS outcomes.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Shelbourne v Dundalk prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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