Shelbourne
DundalkPremier Division | Fri 03 Jul, 20:00
Shelbourne v Dundalk Stats
Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 22:59 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Shelbourne face Dundalk in Premier Division on Fri 03 Jul, 20:00. Analysing seasonal trends reveals Shelbourne possess matching scoring and concession distributions of 1.2 goals per fixture. That run includes victories over Shamrock Rovers, Derry City, Galway United and Bohemians, with two consecutive away wins immediately before the trip to Tolka Park.
Rationale: Match Result - Draw The statistical balance surrounding Shelbourne's recent campaign points firmly to a shared outcome
- At 11/4, Rationale: Match Result - Draw The statistical balance surrounding Shelbourne's recent campaign points firmly to a shared outcome implies roughly 27%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
- Shelbourne maintain average metrics of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match across recent games.
- Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Shelbourne.
- Dundalk have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Rationale: Match Result - Draw The statistical balance surrounding Shelbourne's recent campaign points firmly to a shared outcome angle more.
- Shelbourne sit 5 in the table, while Dundalk sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 27% for Rationale: Match Result - Draw The statistical balance surrounding Shelbourne's recent campaign points firmly to a shared outcome sits against roughly 27% implied by the current price. Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Shelbourne. Shelbourne maintain average metrics of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match across recent games.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Shelbourne Win is the preferred angle because shelbourne maintain average metrics of that scoring level scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match across recent games. Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Shelbourne. That four-point gap gives the visitors a little breathing room, but not enough to relax.
That four-point gap gives the visitors a little breathing room, but not enough to relax.
Key Data Signals
Rationale: Match Result - Draw The statistical balance surrounding Shelbourne's recent campaign points firmly to a shared outcome evidence
Shelbourne maintain average metrics of that scoring level scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match across recent games.
Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Shelbourne.
Dundalk have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Shelbourne Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Shelbourne sit 5 in the table, while Dundalk sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Rationale: Match Result - Draw The statistical balance surrounding Shelbourne's recent campaign points firmly to a shared outcome notes
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Shelbourne
Dundalk
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Premier Division
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dundalk | 35 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 34 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
