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Club Queretaro crestClub Queretaro
v
Monterrey crestMonterrey

Liga MX | Sat 14 Nov, 23:00

Club Queretaro v Monterrey Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Club Queretaro face Monterrey in Liga MX on Sat 14 Nov, 23:00. Club Queretaro come in with 0 recent points and 0.6 goals per match, while Monterrey have 7 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Monterrey to Win

  • At 2, Monterrey to Win implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Monterrey have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Club Queretaro.
  • Monterrey have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Monterrey to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Club Queretaro sit 12 in the table, while Monterrey sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Monterrey to Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Monterrey have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Club Queretaro.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Monterrey have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Monterrey have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Monterrey Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Monterrey have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Club Queretaro. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Monterrey to Win evidence

Monterrey have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Club Queretaro.

Monterrey have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Monterrey Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Club Queretaro sit 12 in the table, while Monterrey sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Monterrey to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Club Queretaro0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Monterrey1.8
    Club Queretaro3
    Avg goals conceded
    Monterrey2
    Club Queretaro60%
    BTTS rate
    Monterrey60%
    Club Queretaro80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Monterrey80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 80%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMonterrey to WinBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Monterrey Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Monterrey to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Club Queretaro

    LLLLL
    Last 50W 0D 5L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 5L
    09 Nov 2026H Puebla0-2
    31 Oct 2026A FC Juarez1-3
    26 Oct 2026H Cruz Azul1-3
    21 Oct 2026A Atletico San Luis1-2
    18 Oct 2026A Santos Laguna0-5

    Monterrey

    LDLWW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    08 Nov 2026A Toluca0-4
    01 Nov 2026H Club Tijuana3-3
    25 Oct 2026H Guadalajara Chivas0-1
    22 Oct 2026A Puebla4-1
    19 Oct 2026H CF Pachuca2-1
    Market aligned with main pickMonterrey to WinBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Monterrey Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Club Queretaro Over 2.5
    80%Monterrey Over 2.5
    2.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Club Queretaro sit at 80% and Monterrey sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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