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Chelsea crestChelsea

Premier League | Mon 24 Aug, 20:00

Fulham v Chelsea Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 07:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fulham face Chelsea in Premier League on Mon 24 Aug, 20:00. Chelsea conceded 1.9 goals per game over their last 10 league outings despite allowing only 10.8 attempts, a defensive efficiency problem Fulham will hope to test. Alonso does at least arrive with Joao Pedro in productive form.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Chelsea to win and both teams to score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 29%, above the 21% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 12/5, Chelsea to win and both teams to score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 21%.
  • Chelsea's attacking momentum, led by Joao Pedro's 22 goals last season and pre-season combined, contrasts with their defensive frailties conceding 1.9 goals per game.
Price warning

Chelsea to win and both teams to score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 29% while the model sits nearer 21% (-8.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Fulham to Win shows a +15 pts edge at 3.8.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 21% for Chelsea to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Chelsea's attacking momentum, led by Joao Pedro's 22 goals last season and pre-season combined, contrasts with their defensive frailties conceding 1.9 goals per game.

Model chance vs price21% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Negative
Chelsea's attacking momentum, led by Joao Pedro's 22 goals.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -8.5 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Chelsea Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because chelsea's attacking momentum, led by Joao Pedro's that scoring level last season and pre-season combined, contrasts with their defensive frailties conceding that scoring level per game. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Chelsea to win and both teams to score evidence

Chelsea's attacking momentum, led by Joao Pedro's 22 goals last season and pre-season combined, contrasts with their defensive.

What To Watch In The Data

Chelsea to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Fulham wins
1Draws
6Chelsea wins
07 Jan 2026Fulham v Chelsea2-1
30 Aug 2025Chelsea v Fulham2-0
20 Apr 2025Fulham v Chelsea1-2
26 Dec 2024Chelsea v Fulham1-2
13 Jan 2024Chelsea v Fulham1-0
02 Oct 2023Fulham v Chelsea0-2
Market aligned with main pickChelsea to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 55% · edge -13.6 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The head-to-head sample gives context for Chelsea to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fulham

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Fulham yet.

Chelsea

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Chelsea yet.

Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 78% · edge -7.1 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
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Chelsea Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Chelsea to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fulham-
Avg goals scored
Chelsea-
Fulham-
Avg goals conceded
Chelsea-
Fulham-
BTTS rate
Chelsea-
Fulham-
Over 2.5 goals
Chelsea-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +11.6 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickChelsea Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 57% · edge -5.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Chelsea to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Chelsea Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier League

Fulham0
Played
Chelsea0
Fulham0
Avg goals for
Chelsea0
Fulham0
Avg goals against
Chelsea0
Fulham0
Clean sheets
Chelsea0
Market aligned with main pickChelsea Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 57% · edge -5.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Chelsea to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Season data supports Chelsea Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Chelsea000000
12Fulham000000
Fulham sit in position 12, while Chelsea sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the Chelsea to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Fulham Over 2.5
-Chelsea Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Chelsea's attacking momentum, led by Joao Pedro's 22 goals last season and pre-season combined, contrasts with their defensive frailties conceding 1.9 goals per game.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.