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Wales crestWales
v
Ghana crestGhana

Friendlies | Tue 02 Jun, 19:45

Wales v Ghana Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 22:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wales face Ghana in Friendlies on Tue 02 Jun, 19:45. However, the Black Stars carry dangerous forward options in Williams, Ayew, and Semenyo, meaning Wales are likely to secure a victory while conceding at Cardiff City Stadium.

BT4Y best bet

The winner of the match while simultaneously predicting that both teams will score at least one goal

  • At 10/3, Wales Win implies roughly 23%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • Wales were just minutes away from progressing in their playoff semi-final before conceding an 86th-minute equaliser against Bosnia & Herzegovina.
  • Wales have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Ghana.
  • Wales have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Wales Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Wales Win sits against roughly 23% implied by the current price. Wales have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Ghana. Wales were just minutes away from progressing in their playoff semi-final before conceding an 86th-minute equaliser against Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 23% implied
Strong positive
Wales have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points.Visible data support
Positive
Wales have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Wales were just minutes away from progressing in their.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Wales Win is the preferred angle because wales were just minutes away from progressing in their playoff semi-final before conceding an 86th-minute equaliser against Bosnia & Herzegovina. Wales have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Ghana. Ghana won eight of ten qualifying matches but their leaky defence recently shipped five goals in a single clash against Austria.

Main risk

Ghana won eight of ten qualifying matches but their leaky defence recently shipped five goals in a single clash against Austria.

Key Data Signals

Wales Win evidence

Wales were just minutes away from progressing in their playoff semi-final before conceding an 86th-minute equaliser against Bosnia.

Wales have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Ghana.

Wales have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Wales Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Wales Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Wales5
    Avg corners for
    Ghana3.33
    Wales7
    Avg total corners
    Ghana11
    Wales1
    Avg yellow cards
    Ghana2
    Wales13
    Avg shots
    Ghana6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 51% · edge -3 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    more Friendlies analysisfull betting preview for Wales v Ghanacorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Wales1
    Avg goals scored
    Ghana0.67
    Wales1
    Avg goals conceded
    Ghana3
    Wales100%
    BTTS rate
    Ghana67%
    Wales0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Ghana67%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 55% · edge +21.4 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWales to WinBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.2 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Wales Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 48%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Wales to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Wales

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    31 Mar 2026H Northern Ireland1-1

    Ghana

    LLL
    Last 50W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 3L
    23 May 2026A Mexico0-2
    30 Mar 2026A Germany1-2
    27 Mar 2026A Austria1-5
    Market aligned with main pickWales to WinBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.2 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 85%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Wales Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Wales wins
    0Draws
    0Ghana wins
    Market aligned with main pickWales to WinBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.2 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Wales to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Wales3
    Played
    Ghana4
    Wales1
    Avg goals for
    Ghana0.8
    Wales1.3
    Avg goals against
    Ghana2.5
    Wales0
    Clean sheets
    Ghana0
    Market aligned with main pickWales to WinBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.2 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Wales Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Season data supports Wales to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Wales Over 2.5
    67%Ghana Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Wales sit at 0% and Ghana sit at 67%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Wales v Ghana prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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