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Sheffield Utd crestSheffield Utd
v
Birmingham crestBirmingham

Championship | Sat 15 Aug, 17:30

Sheffield Utd v Birmingham Stats

Data last updated: Mon 28 Sep 2026, 06:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sheffield Utd face Birmingham in Championship on Sat 15 Aug, 17:30.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • At 2, BTTS No implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for BTTS No sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Neutral
Price sensitivityEdge +4 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: BTTS No is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting BTTS No.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sheffield Utd

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sheffield Utd yet.

Birmingham

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Birmingham yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 74% · edge -5.1 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Sheffield Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Sheffield Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Birmingham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3
Check odds @ 3
Birmingham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sheffield Utd-
Avg goals scored
Birmingham-
Sheffield Utd-
Avg goals conceded
Birmingham-
Sheffield Utd-
BTTS rate
Birmingham-
Sheffield Utd-
Over 2.5 goals
Birmingham-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; the clean-sheet route needs defensive and away-attacking data to support it.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge -0.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sheffield Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Sheffield Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Birmingham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3
Check odds @ 3
Birmingham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Sheffield Utd Over 2.5
-Birmingham Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals

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