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Liechtenstein crestLiechtenstein
v
Cyprus crestCyprus

Friendlies | Sun 07 Jun, 14:00

Liechtenstein v Cyprus Stats

Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 11:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liechtenstein face Cyprus in Friendlies on Sun 07 Jun, 14:00. Liechtenstein lost all eight of their World Cup qualifying matches, finishing their Group J campaign with a 0:31 goal difference. Liechtenstein have failed to score in their last five home fixtures while conceding sixteen goals during their wider home losing streak.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Requires predicting the final outcome of the match at full-time: a home win, a draw, or an away win

  • At 2/5, Liechtenstein Win implies roughly 71%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Cyprus have avoided defeat in their last two away matches, their first such away sequence since June 2024.
  • Cyprus have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Liechtenstein.
  • Cyprus have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.33 conceded per match, which helps the Liechtenstein Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Requires predicting the final outcome of the match at full-time: a home win, a draw, or an away win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 71% while the model sits nearer 27% (-44.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Liechtenstein Draw No Bet shows a +28.1 pts edge at 5.9.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Liechtenstein Win sits against roughly 71% implied by the current price. Cyprus have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Liechtenstein. Cyprus have avoided defeat in their last two away matches, their first such away sequence since June 2024.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 71% implied
Negative
Cyprus have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Cyprus have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.33 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Cyprus have avoided defeat in their last two away.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Liechtenstein Win is the preferred angle because cyprus have avoided defeat in their last two away matches, their first such away sequence since June 2024. Cyprus have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Liechtenstein. That tells a severe story: keeping games close has been hard, but scoring has been even harder.

Main risk

That tells a severe story: keeping games close has been hard, but scoring has been even harder.

Key Data Signals

Liechtenstein Win evidence

Cyprus have avoided defeat in their last two away matches, their first such away sequence since June 2024.

Cyprus have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Liechtenstein.

Cyprus have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.33 conceded per match, which helps the Liechtenstein Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Liechtenstein Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Liechtenstein2
    Avg corners for
    Cyprus4.5
    Liechtenstein8
    Avg total corners
    Cyprus7
    Liechtenstein1
    Avg yellow cards
    Cyprus1
    Liechtenstein0
    Avg shots
    Cyprus4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 53% · edge -14.4 pts
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Friendlies hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Liechtenstein0
    Avg goals scored
    Cyprus1.33
    Liechtenstein2
    Avg goals conceded
    Cyprus1.33
    Liechtenstein0%
    BTTS rate
    Cyprus67%
    Liechtenstein0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Cyprus33%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 48% · edge +17.9 pts
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 56%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLiechtenstein to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 11% · edge +16.5 pts
    9.5
    Check odds @ 9.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Liechtenstein Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    5.9
    Check odds @ 5.9
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 56%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 39%
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Liechtenstein to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Liechtenstein

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    04 Jun 2026A Andorra0-2

    Cyprus

    DWL
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    04 Jun 2026A Slovenia1-1
    30 Mar 2026H Moldova3-2
    26 Mar 2026H Belarus0-1
    Market aligned with main pickLiechtenstein to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 11% · edge +16.5 pts
    9.5
    Check odds @ 9.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Liechtenstein Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    5.9
    Check odds @ 5.9
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    3.17
    Check odds @ 3.17
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Liechtenstein wins
    0Draws
    0Cyprus wins
    Market aligned with main pickLiechtenstein to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 11% · edge +16.5 pts
    9.5
    Check odds @ 9.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 56%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Liechtenstein to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Liechtenstein2
    Played
    Cyprus4
    Liechtenstein0
    Avg goals for
    Cyprus1.5
    Liechtenstein2
    Avg goals against
    Cyprus1
    Liechtenstein0
    Clean sheets
    Cyprus1
    Market aligned with main pickLiechtenstein to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 11% · edge +16.5 pts
    9.5
    Check odds @ 9.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Liechtenstein Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    5.9
    Check odds @ 5.9
    Season data supports Liechtenstein to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Liechtenstein Over 2.5
    33%Cyprus Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Liechtenstein sit at 0% and Cyprus sit at 33%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Liechtenstein v Cyprus prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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