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Denmark crestDenmark
v
Ukraine crestUkraine

Friendlies | Sun 07 Jun, 17:30

Denmark v Ukraine Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 15:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Denmark face Ukraine in Friendlies on Sun 07 Jun, 17:30. Denmark were second in Europe’s qualification Group C, crushed North Macedonia 4-0 in their playoff semi-final, then saw the dream collapse against Czech Republic after extra time and penalties. Ukraine have won three of their last four matches, including clean-sheet victories over Albania and Poland.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: Under 2

  • At 4/5, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • All three previous meetings finished with under 2.5 goals, and the last recorded meeting between the sides came in World Cup qualifying in September.
  • Ukraine are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Denmark at 0.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Denmark and 0% for Ukraine show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under that scoring level sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Ukraine are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Denmark at 0. All three previous meetings finished with under 2.5 goals, and the last recorded meeting between the sides came in World Cup qualifying in September.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Positive
Ukraine are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 0% for Denmark and 0% for Ukraine.Visible data support
Positive
All three previous meetings finished with under 2.5 goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because all three previous meetings finished with under 2.5 goals, and the last recorded meeting between the sides came in World Cup qualifying in September 2004, when Denmark and Ukraine drew. Ukraine are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Denmark at 0. Ukraine were not perfect, and Maldera made that clear afterwards, but the most important point was character.

Main risk

Ukraine were not perfect, and Maldera made that clear afterwards, but the most important point was character.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

All three previous meetings finished with under 2.5 goals, and the last recorded meeting between the sides came.

Ukraine are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Denmark at 0.

BTTS rates of 0% for Denmark and 0% for Ukraine show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Denmark0
Avg goals scored
Ukraine1.5
Denmark0
Avg goals conceded
Ukraine0
Denmark0%
BTTS rate
Ukraine0%
Denmark0%
Over 2.5 goals
Ukraine0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 59% · edge +7.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 0% for Denmark and 0% for Ukraine, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Denmark

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
03 Jun 2026A Congo DR0-0

Ukraine

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
31 May 2026A Poland2-0
31 Mar 2026H Albania1-0
Best odds for this sectionUkraine to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 20% · edge +50 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Ukraine Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
2.06
Check odds @ 2.06
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Denmark Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Denmark to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionUkraine to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 20% · edge +50 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Ukraine Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Denmark Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Denmark to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Ukraine to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Denmark wins
0Draws
0Ukraine wins
Best odds for this sectionUkraine to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 20% · edge +50 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Denmark to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Ukraine to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Denmark2
Played
Ukraine3
Denmark1
Avg goals for
Ukraine1.3
Denmark0.5
Avg goals against
Ukraine0.7
Denmark1
Clean sheets
Ukraine2
Best odds for this sectionUkraine to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 20% · edge +50 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Ukraine Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Denmark Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Denmark to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Season data supports Ukraine to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Denmark Over 2.5
0%Ukraine Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Denmark sit at 0% and Ukraine sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.