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Cienciano crestCienciano
v
Juventud crestJuventud

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Wed 27 May, 23:00

Cienciano v Juventud Stats

Data last updated: Fri 19 Jun 2026, 14:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cienciano face Juventud in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wed 27 May, 23:00. Fine Margins, Frayed Nerves and a Group Ready to Explode. Cienciano are strong favourites with home advantage at altitude, though Juventud enter this final match on a six-game unbeaten streak. Nobody has managed to take control.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Requires predicting the exact final score at the end of regular time

  • At 1.6, Cienciano Win implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 40%.
  • Cienciano carrying pressure at home
  • Cienciano have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Juventud.
  • Cienciano have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Cienciano Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Requires predicting the exact final score at the end of regular time is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 63% while the model sits nearer 40% (-22.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Juventud Draw No Bet shows a +25.5 pts edge at 3.45.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 40% for Cienciano Win sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Cienciano have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Juventud. Cienciano carrying pressure at home

Model chance vs price40% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Negative
Cienciano have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Cienciano have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Cienciano carrying pressure at homeArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cienciano Win is the preferred angle because cienciano carrying pressure at home Cienciano have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Juventud. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Cienciano Win evidence

Cienciano carrying pressure at home

Cienciano have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Juventud.

Cienciano have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Cienciano Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Cienciano Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Cienciano0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Juventud1.8
    Cienciano1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Juventud1.2
    Cienciano20%
    BTTS rate
    Juventud80%
    Cienciano20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Juventud60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 23%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCienciano to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 63% · edge -22.9 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 51%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Cienciano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Cienciano to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    full betting preview for Cienciano v Juventudfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Cienciano3.8
    Avg corners for
    Juventud3.6
    Cienciano7
    Avg total corners
    Juventud7.8
    Cienciano1.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Juventud1.2
    Cienciano14.2
    Avg shots
    Juventud11.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 53% · edge -1.7 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Cienciano

    LLWWD
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 2L
    21 May 2026A Atletico-MG0-2
    06 May 2026A Puerto Cabello0-3
    30 Apr 2026H Atletico-MG1-0
    17 Apr 2026H Puerto Cabello2-0
    09 Apr 2026A Juventud1-1

    Juventud

    DDWLD
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 3D 1L
    21 May 2026A Puerto Cabello1-1
    05 May 2026H Atletico-MG2-2
    29 Apr 2026H Puerto Cabello4-0
    16 Apr 2026A Atletico-MG1-2
    09 Apr 2026H Cienciano1-1
    Market aligned with main pickCienciano to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 63% · edge -22.9 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Cienciano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Cienciano wins
    1Draws
    0Juventud wins
    09 Apr 2026Juventud v Cienciano1-1
    Market aligned with main pickCienciano to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 63% · edge -22.9 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Cienciano to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Cienciano7
    Played
    Juventud6
    Cienciano1
    Avg goals for
    Juventud1.7
    Cienciano1.1
    Avg goals against
    Juventud1.2
    Cienciano2
    Clean sheets
    Juventud1
    Market aligned with main pickCienciano to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 63% · edge -22.9 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Cienciano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Season data supports Cienciano to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Cienciano86222-2
    3Juventud761413
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Cienciano Over 2.5
    60%Juventud Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cienciano sit at 20% and Juventud sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Cienciano v Juventud prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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